Stat of the Day Update: 18th to 24th February 2013

SotD Update: 25/02/13

SotD Update: 25/02/13

Stat of the Day Update: 18/02/13 to 24/02/13

My own personal poor form on SotD was unfortunately in evidence again this last week, but it's not quite as bad as the 50 defeats in a row that one bright spark on here suggested! And whilst we don't make excuses here at SotD (or at Geegeez in general), I do feel a little hard done by this week.

Home Run looked every inch the winner before veering left after clearing the last obstacle on Tuesday, whilst Sunday's runner Earcomesthedream had every chance had he not gone slightly too early and ended up going from 1st to 4th on the final stretch. The "home run" literally been our downfall this week, costing us anything up to 10pts on the week.

So, whilst not an impossible task: it's now going to be very hard to make February a profitable month. We've got four days left to overturn a near 14pt deficit, but rest assured, we'll certainly not fail for a lack of effort.

Selections & Results: 18/02/13 to 24/02/13

18/02: 4.10 Carlisle: Camden George (advised 28/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 16/1
19/02: 3.40 Taunton: Home Run (advised at 13/2 E/W BOG) : 2nd at 11/2
20/02: 4.50 Ludlow: Fairwood Present (advised 9/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 20/1
21/02: 3.30 Huntingdon: Kilmurvy (advised 7/1 BOG) : 3rd at 4/1
22/02: 3.50 Warwick: Frisco Depot (advised 13/2 BOG) : unplaced at 6/1
23/02: 3.50 Kempton: Nacarat (advised 9/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 10/1
24/02: 4.00 Towcester: Earcomesthedream (advised 8/1 E/W BOG) : 4th at 10/1

18/02 to 24/02:
1 winning bet from 7
P/L: -5.69pts

4 winners from 24 = 16.67% S.R
P/L: -13.64pts
POI = -56.83%

129 winners from 429 = 30.07% S.R
P/L: +108.3pts
POI: +25.24%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +120.3pts from a 430pt outlay = +27.98% POI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

6 thoughts on “Stat of the Day Update: 18th to 24th February 2013

  1. glenn hussey

    been following the selections from 26th december. 60 selections 14 returns. at £100 wins or £50 ew and taking sp its loss -£1775. appreciate that the weather has affected things so certainly hoping the next couple of months, with better weather and racing, will see a change of fortune

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Hi Glenn,
      The actual losses are around half of the figure you quote, as we don’t back at SP and we made profit in January.
      But either way, recent results have been disappointing.


  2. Todd

    I didn’t say that you had picked 50 losers in a row Chris. (me, the “bright spark”) What I said was that we were 50 days into the year and I couldn’t remember a single winner. Maybe one, to give you the benefit of the doubt. Matt’s picked a few but I don’t think you have. It would be great if you had always quoted STOTD to BFSP, because – as I’ve said before – if no-one gets on at 16/1, the horse returns at 8/1, you’re claiming double points. You’ve done that a lot. Other people know that too. If they don’t, they’re mugs. You’ve struggled to make a profit at SP, or BFSP, or even the early prices that people can get on at for months now. A lot of months. Last Summer, probably. What do you think?

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      Hi Todd

      You seem to be quite a negative person, judging by the fact that all of your contributions have been sniping in some regard.

      The odds quoted are ALWAYS available at time of posting. That’s just a simple house rule which I insist on. As for quoting BFSP, it’s swings and roundabouts. We favour BOG because we generally expect the horses mentioned to move inwards in the betting. After all, that’s the point of any value service.

      Do you think Hugh Taylor or Pricewise should only quote BSP? I can tell you now for an absolute fact that they’d be minus plenty if they did.

      So, here’s how this is going to work: we’re going to carry on doing what we’re doing, and you can enjoy it for that, or exercise your right to go elsewhere.

      After three negative comments (out of three), you’re on notice to contribute something positive and helpful to the site or I respectfully ask you to head for the Betfair forum or some other bitch fest. Geegeez isn’t – and never will be – that sort of a place.


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