Stat of the Day, 8th January 2013
Today sees me make a calculated gamble that if it comes off ,as I expect it to, will look like a good call. However, if it doesn't go my way, it might make me look a little lazy at best. But we often repeat stats on SotD, especially if they're good ones.
What is unusual to have the same conditions available twice in the space of three days, as is the case today as we return to Monmouthshire for a Class 4 handicap hurdle over a three-mile trip, as 13 runners are set to do battle in the...
As we pointed out on Saturday, David Pipe's hurdlers really are the business here at Chepstow with a 5yr record of 16 winners from 58 ( 27.6%) producing some 42pts profit at SP. And quite remarkably, his record in the last two years is even better, as he has saddled up an impressive 11 winners from his last 28 hurdlers here in that two-year window. This more recent 39.3% strike rate has been responsible for a level stakes profit of 38pts, which is a profit on stakes of over 135%.
Last Saturday, David's sole Chepstow hurdler Amigo was a winner at 11/2 for SotD and we're hoping that his only runner here today, Laflammedeglorie, will follow-up that success.
Laflammedeglorie has been very lightly raced, but has one victory and one runner-up position already under his belt and today is just his fourth start. He broke his maiden tag here at Chepstow in a novice hurdle last february on soft ground and has had two other runs on heavy ground, so the testing conditions shouldn't be an issue today. He has been off the track since then, but fitness never seems to be a problem with horses in the Pipe yard and this does mean he's certainly far less exposed than some of his rivals today.
Whilst his opening handicap mark of 112 could have been more lenient, there does seem to be plenty of scope for improvement from this one and the early indications are that he will have more to give now tackling handicaps.
David Pipe likes to pick and choose his entrants here at Chepstow and he seems to think that the course, the trip and the ground will suit Laflammedeglorie today, so who am I to argue?
Today's play is a 1pt win bet on Laflammedeglorie at 100/30 BOG with Paddy Power, but please take the opportunity to...