Stat of the Day, 29th January 2013
It was abject from Abraq yesterday as he trailed home last of six and we'll hope for better today. Yet again, however, we're faced with just two meetings: both on the A/W and one of those is a jumpers bumper meeting (at Lingfield). It's therefore pretty much Hobson's Choice, as we look (yet again!) at what Wolverhampton has to offer us on a fairly uninspiring looking day.
I've gone for one in a trappy 13-runner, Class 6 handicap over 1m 141yds, the...
Robin Bastiman isn't one of the more familiar trainers at Dunstall Park, having only saddled twelve runners at this venue over the last 11 months or so, but the results achieved from this small number of runners is excellent. A string of results such as 113835641313, have resulted in a strike rate of 33.33% and 66.67% of the runners have made the frame.
Seeing as Robin doesn't send that many here, it's no surprise that he has just the one runner today and that horse is responsible for the last two victories in that sequence: both over today's trip too.
Mr. Bastiman's Kyllachykov is therefore seeking a C&D hat-trick within three weeks and despite an obvious rise in the weights, must stand a decent chance today. This horse had little/no form on the turf, but has been revitalised by being sent out to the Wolverhampton polytrack where he now stands at 2/2, having secured victories at 6/1 and 11/4. Today's contest will be a bit tougher than both of those previous outings and hopefully, we can find some value in the market.
A further positive today is the re-booking of Daniel Tudhope to take the ride. Danny was on board last time out and judged the race perfectly having kept in touch throughout and hitting the front at just the right time. Kyllachykov looked to have something left in reserve that day, so the extra weight might not be too much of a burden. Daniel is generally in decent form at present anyway, boasting a 29% strike rate in the last month (7/24) and he has managed to get his mounts into the frame on no less than seven occasions from eleven in the last fortnight.
As I intimated earlier, we won't have it all our own way today, but should the jockey tackle the ride the same way as last time out and provided the horse performs to a similar level, we should very well be there or thereabouts. There's enough scope in the price to hedge our bets and my play today is 0.5pts E/W bet on Kyllachykov at 13/2 BOG with BetVictor, but as always, you can...