Stat of the Day, 25th January 2014

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 25th January 2014

Chris' parting shot before taking a weekend away was to nominate a 17/2 piledriver. Pearl Castle hacked up in a good race on Friday, and the half point each way call was a prudent one with such strength in depth. Of course, if we'd known then what we know now, it'd have been an all in play, but that's the beauty of hindsight!

It's Chelters for Saturday's selection, and the...

1.50 Cheltenham:

A hyper-competitive handicap chase is arguably a curious place to weigh the SotD anchor, especially one in which I'm rolling with an eleven year old carrying top weight on ground that the trainer feels is less than ideal. But hear me out, if you will...

Wishfull Thinking may be eleven, but he remains in fine fettle, as a game second to the precocious Unioniste at Aintree last time out demonstrated. He won this race back in 2011, so there are no concerns on course, distance or class scores.

As for that going niggle, well he's actually four from six on soft ground, so I'd have to take minor issue with Mr Hobbs, his trainer. In point of fact, Hobbs is in excellent form currently, with a 38% strike rate in the last fortnight (11 winners from 29 runners).

A mark of 156 for a horse that won a Grade 2 as recently as last February is fair, if not lenient, and I'm expecting him to run well under the big weight, something he's done many times before.

BetVictor offer 13/2 and that looks good to me, all in to win, but please feel free to...

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8 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 25th January 2014

  1. dolphin68

    Hi Matt….great SotD pick…first time up….and the 9/1 was good too. Noticed that the SotD selection was top rated on the Puntology software.

    What did you make of Big Buck’s run…was he caught up the hill due to lack of fitness or that he’s getting older and slowing down a bit?

    Martin

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      Thanks Martin.

      Re Big Buck’s that’s a subject for a post next week when we start to kick our Cheltenham Festival content up a couple of gears. There’s a lot to digest, not just BB but also the others in that race, and those who are waiting in the World Hurdle wings!

      Matt

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