Stat of the Day, 17th January 2013

Stat of the Day: 17/01/13

Stat of the Day: 17/01/13

Stat of the Day, 17th January 2013

SotD's 'binary January' continued yesterday, as Laura Mongan took her own personal binary record in that particular race to 01010: two wins and three last placed horses, as First Avenue was unsuited by the slow pace and never got involved.

Today, with a change of chair and frost in the air, I'm swerving the turf in case it's cancelled and heading for the beach at Dunstall Park, and the...

7.00 Wolverhampton

A very trappy Class 4 handicap is not ideal, but there's really very little to go at today, so go at it we shall.

The horse for this course is Michael Easterby's Desert Vision, a 47 race veteran. He's run fifteen of those 47 races here, and won five of them. Indeed, his full course record is a supremely consistent 562811212131332. Thus, in his last eleven races here, he's not been out of the frame. And he's won three of his seven starts at this trip.

This afternoon's contest sees him race two grades below the level in which he was third - beaten less than two lengths - on his penultimate start. True, he was a disappointing second when sent off as an odds-on chance in a claimer last time, but he looks sure to run his race again this evening.

Pace in the race could come from the SotD stalwart, Dubawi Island or perhaps Spifer or Copperwood, with Desert Vision's own prominent run style matched by his middle draw. Graham Gibbons knows his way round Dunstall Park better than most, with a 19% win and 38% place strike rate.

After a win or nowhere sort of month so far, Desert Vision is the type to be there or thereabouts almost inevitably, so each way is the only way to play. 6/1 was the best available as I wrote this at 11pm last night, so make sure you click the link below to find the pick of the odds when you read SotD...

Click here for the latest betting on the 7.00 Wolverhampton

 

 

10 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 17th January 2013

  1. Johnny5

    Incredibly early post for you Chris – surely not an early night for you nightowl ?

    Good luck with this one – incredible course record – hopefully a guaranteed ew and a possible winner

    Already being nibbled in the market and 6/1 quite spartan which is a good sign here hopes

    Bestoluck mate

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      It was Matt, not Chris, Johnny!

      I try to get a bit of sleep at night, though my young son tends to have other ideas…!

      Big non-runner in Spifer, which gives us more of a place chance albeit at slightly shorter odds.

      Matt

  2. Johnny5

    Apologies Matt last night !!! I was tired …

    Well done Sir on an imperious win foiling a mega gamble in second . Couldn’t believe it held on

    Well done – SO pleased for you Matt – great to see a SotD winner for such a great service ! J

  3. Bob Smith (@RobertS00994664)

    Great win Matt ! – Is that not 4 from 4 now ? What a gutsy horse D.V. is – beaten 1/2 furlong from home but would lay down. Good pick at a good price.
    Many Thanks

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      Thanks Bob – it is indeed four in a row. But it was only a couple of months back when I couldn’t pick my nose. That’s why it’s great to have a SotD team. 🙂

      Matt

  4. IanS

    And the bonus is that this was a Bet365 Feature Race, so if you backed Desert Vision with them at better than 4/1 you’ve a free bet (same stake up to £50) on the 4.00 at Wolverhampton this afternoon, if racing goes ahead there this afternoon. If it’s off, then the bet will carry forward to the next Feature Race.

  5. Jim

    Great work again.

    I had my bigger bet ob Betfair place since the record of placing in last 11runs is brilliant – odds against seemed really good value Win was the icing on the cake.

    congrats again

    Jim

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