Stat of the Day, 12th January 2013
Another blank yesterday in what is becoming an all-too-familiar tale of woe. Icy Quiet seemed to be going well and led the field until headed inside the final quarter-mile. As she steeled herself for a final effort, she was penned in and hampered, but my own honest appraisal is that she'd already lost the race once she was passed by. She could well have finished nearer to the money than she did, but a loss is a loss: we're not in the excuses game here at Geegeez.
SotD makes a short one hour journey South East today to take on a Class 3 Handicap Chase over two miles on soft ground as eight runners contest the...
The couple of years have been good times for Nick Williams' horses here at Warwick. He has saddled up eight times here in that period and his record reads 12311221, a 50% win strike rate has rewarded his followers with a healthy 15pts profit, whilst the more cautious E/W punter has managed to get paid out on each of the eight races. Their personal gain is a very impressive 24.3pts.
Today, Nick has just the one runner at the track and that is George Nympton, who competes in this chase contest. Mr Williams' chasers have also had their fair share of success at this track in recent times with all five finishing in the first two home in a sequence that reads 11221.
Two of those chase victories have been achieved by today's selection George Nympton, a horse that has won both his two previous starts over C&D and Noel Fehily who was on board for both victories, is in the saddle again. Mr Fehily, himself, is no slouch around the chase course here at Warwick either. His previous nine attempts over the last two years have yielded four winners and two further place finishes, so he's no stranger to the winners' enclosure.
Those two C&D victories are George Nympton's only victories to date in a fairly short, but blossoming chasing career after an admittedly indifferent attempt at hurdling. He has won here on both good and soft ground and has made the frame elsewhere on three out of five previous races on soft ground, so the going shouldn't be a concern.
His last race in December represented his best efforts to date and whilst he still needs to continue his progression with today's step up, he stands a very good chance on familiar territory.
Having looked at the card, I anticipated our selection to be around the 100/30 mark, so I;m happy to declare today's play as a 1pt win bet at 4/1 BOG with Paddy Power. BetFred and BetVictor are also offering 4/1, so for your preferred bookmaker, please...