Tag Archives: Tunnager grove

Stat of the Day, 16th October 2012 (Take Two!)

Stat of the Day 16/10

Stat of the Day 16/10

Stat of the Day, 16th October 2012

Stock Hill Fair finished 2nd yesterday and despite finishing some 8 lengths behind a rejuvenated Betchworth Kid, ran a very good race and led for the majority of the contest. Matt had advised us to take the 14/1 E/W on offer from bet365, which proved to be a smart move, as our selection was sent off at 15/2. However, the 2nd place finish meant a profit of 1.25pts for the bank and also (somewhat self-congratulatory) we're pleased to announce that this was the 100th winning SotD bet from Matt and myself in the last 11 months.

Anyway, enough of yesterday, I'm back in the SotD chair for the next 10 days or so and it's now my task to kickstart the next century of winners! And as Newcastle was abandoned this morning, I've had to rethink plans on what looks a difficult day. So we're off to Oadby for a Class 6 Seller over 7 furlongs. The going is currently Soft with more rain forecast, which should prove quite testing for the 10 runners in today's...

2.40 Leicester

The old adage is "horses for courses" and today I've tried to concentrate on a horse suited to the conditions rather than a trainer stat.

I'm going with Barista today, who has performed very well on each on his previous five starts in selling company with a record of 31123, solid place form there and he's 312 in Leicester sellers, so we know he "gets" the track, where his overall record reads 3112532

We know it's going to be tough out there today and the official going is Soft, but as it's raining now and is due to rain for pretty much most of the day, I wouldn't be surprised in the ground doesn't deteriorate further in the next few hours. This, however, won't cause our selection much concern, as he has a very good record on heavy ground with two wins and two runner-up positions from just five races. He was actually fourth in his only unplaced run on heavy ground in better company than this today.

Due to the fact that the favourite Tunnager Grove is hovering around even money, there's some decent odds on offer from Stan James for this race and they're currently showing 8/1 BOG for our selection. So, for me (and SotD records) it's 0.5pts E/W at 8/1 BOG with Stan James, but you really should take time to...

Click here for all the latest odds for the 2.40 Leicester.

Stat of the Day, 10th July 2012

Stat of the Day 10/7

Stat of the Day 10/7

Stat of the Day: 10th July 2012

There's not a great deal to say about yesterday's selection. I advised a 20/1 price, the horse went off at 20/1 and ran like a 20/1 shot!
Perhaps that last part is a little harsh, as Monymusk certainly made every effort to get home and put some good work in between the 3f and 1f poles, but weakened quite badly late on: eventually finishing back in 8th place, a good 18 lengths away from the money.

To make the best of this glorious British summer we're having, we're taking SotD off to the beach today for a Class 6 Claimer over a mile on the Nottinghamshire Fibresand, as ten 3yr olds line up to do battle in the...

7.05 Southwell

Trainer Hughie Morrison's recent record at the is track is excellent with 22 winners from 70 here bringing a level stakes profit of almost 30pts. His place strike rate is a very creditable 64% too. We can further draw down on Mr Morrison's figures here and see that in 2012 alone, his record is 9 winners and 5 placers from just 18 races: incredible stuff! But wait, we're not quite finished there: his 3 yr olds are 6 wins and 2 places from 8 in 2012. He clearly is our trainer to go to at present for Southwell.

So, let's look at his entries for tonight. he has two runners at the track this evening. The first of which is Frederickthegreat who runs at 7.05 and is making his first appearance on the Fibresand, but the yard so have an uncanny knack of getting their charges to fire on their track debut. The horse will be in good hands this evening with Darryll Holland on board. Darryll also has a tremendous record at Southwell with a 25% win strike rate (9pts profit) and a 44% place strike rate in the last couple of years.

It should also be noted that  Messrs Morrison & Holland don't often team up together at Southwell: just 4 occasions in the past, but these resulted in two winners and a place! Their only combination with a 3yr old runner came 7 weeks ago when Abi Scarlet was a 2.5 lengths winner.

When we combine all these isolated facts into one piece, it's enough for me to put forward Frederickthegreat as a selection for SotD and I recommend the current 11/2 BOG on offer from bet365, but you can always...

Click here for the latest odds for the 7.05 Southwell.

Now, in these times of financial uncertainty, we often see lots of special offers on the high street and today we're going to give you a two-for-one offer!

Our Morrison/Holland partnership have a second 3 yr old runner on the Southwell card in the form of Tunnager Grove (8.35 race), who ran really well at Warwick last time out, finishing second, despite having no luck whatsoever in running and a drop to 6f this evening might well be the trick. Obviously all the above stats still apply and the recommended bet is 11/4 BOG with Paddy Power, but please do click here for the latest odds for the 8.35 Southwell.

So, that's 2 x 0.5pts win bets for today.
All the best and I'll be back tomorrow!