Tag Archives: SotD

Stat of the Day Update, 30/9/13 to 6/10/13

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 30/9/13 to 6/10/13

Final figures of a 26.67% strike rate (via 8 winners from 30) and an ROI of almost 16% (via 4.75pts profit) are pretty decent returns for September, but I have to hold my hands up and admit that the month rather went out with a whimper than a bang.

I actually failed to find a winner in the last 10 days of the month, so it shows how well we did in the first three weeks of a notoriously difficult month to tip in.

October is probably harder still, but we've hit the ground running with some good selections providing a level of consistency so far. We're five bets into the month and the results look like this: 22121. The winners have been at decent prices (4/1 & 11/4), whilst the three runner-up horses weren't disgraced by any means.

We'll obviously be looking to continue the current fine run, so stay tuned!

Selections & Results: 30/9/13 to 6/10/13

30/09: 3.20 Newton Abbot: To The Sky (advised 8/1 BOG) : 4th at 7/1
01/10: 2.20 Sedgefield: Wakanda (advised 5/2 BOG) : 2nd at 9/4
02/10: 3.10 Newcastle: Fanoos (advised 3/1 BOG) : 2nd at 7/2
03/10: 4.20 Bangor: Dreams And Songs (advised 11/1 E/W BOG) : non-runner
04/10: 4.15 Ascot: Ballinderry Boy (advised 4/1 BOG) : won at 9/4
05/10: 2.55 Newmarket: Validus (advised 7/2 BOG) : 2nd at 3/1
06/10: 5.05 Uttoxeter: Hail Tiberius (advised 5/2 BOG) : won at 11/4

30/9 to 6/10:
2 winning bets from 6
P/L: +2.75pts

September:
8 winners from 30 = 26.67% S.R
P/L: +4.75pts
POI = +15.83%

October:
2 winners from 5 = 40.00% S.R
P/L: +3.75pts
POI = +75.00%

Overall:
184 winners from 646 = 28.48% S.R
P/L: +109.55pts
ROI: +16.96%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +121.55pts from a 647pt outlay = +18.79% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 23rd to 29th September 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 23/09/13 to 29/09/13

September's rollercoaster nature is in full view once again as SotD went from the sublime to the ridiculous this week.

We hit three winners in four days in the middle of last week, making 8.5pts in the process.

We have since had nine consecutive losing bets for an actual net loss of 1.5pts over the last fortnight!

In fairness, though, a 0/7 return doesn't tell the whole story.

Both Saturday's and Sunday's runners only went down by a mere head at decent prices and it was the head again that prevented us from getting an E/W payout on Monday.

In addition to the narrow defeats, we should add that all bar two of our selections were sent off at considerably shorter odds that we'd advised.

The main things to take from this week, are a reminder of how fine the margins are between success and failure and that getting the best price available is key.

Selections & Results: 23/09/13 to 29/09/13

23/09: 5.15 Tipperary: Roman Romance (advised 13/2 E/W BOG) : 4th at 9/2
24/09: 3.50 Newton Abbot: Western King (advised 5/1 BOG) : 3rd at 7/2
25/09: 2.40 Redcar: Mitcd (advised 6/1 BOG) : unplaced at 8/1
26/09: 2.20 Pontefract: My Target (advised 11/4 BOG) : unplaced at 9/4
27/09: 8.40 Wolverhampton: Royal Peculiar (advised 4/1 BOG) : 4th at 11/2
28/09: 9.00 Wolverhampton: Living The Life (advised 6/1 BOG) : 2nd at evens
29/09: 2.15 Epsom: Mime Dance (advised 5/1 BOG) : 2nd at 11/4

23/09 to 29/09:
0 winning bets from 7
P/L: -7.00pts

September:
8 winners from 29 = 27.59% S.R
P/L: +5.75pts
POI = +19.83%

Overall:
182 winners from 640 = 28.44% S.R
P/L: +106.80pts
ROI: +16.69%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +118.80pts from a 641pt outlay = +18.53% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 16th to 22nd September 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 16/09/13 to 22/09/13

Despite petering out with a poor run on Saturday and an early faller on Sunday, it was a pretty good week for SotD. The five weekday selections yielded three winners (4/1, 3/1 & 5/2) to help us to a weekly profit of 5.5pts.

The two losing weekday selections were by no means disgraced either: Dr Irv ran a good race to finish 3rd at 4/1 on Monday, whilst Wednesday's Irish contender was a 14/1 E/W shot that, despite finishing 5th of the 11 runners, was only a length behind the winner.

If only, eh?

Selections & Results: 16/09/13 to 22/09/13

16/09: 3.10 Musselburgh: Dr Irv (advised 9/2 BOG) : 3rd at 4/1
17/09: 6.05 Stratford: Letsby Avenue (advised 7/2 BOG) : won at 3/1 (collected at SP, due to R4!)
18/09: 2.55 Listowel: Srucahan (advised 14/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced (5th) at 12/1
19/09: 4.00 Pontefract: Jubilante (advised 4/1 BOG) : won at 3/1
20/09: 4.50 Newbury: Tawhid (advised 5/2 BOG) : won at 15/8
21/09: 8.50 Wolverhampton: Platinum Proof (advised 6/1 BOG) : unplaced at 11/2
22/09: 3.30 Plumpton: Jayandbee (advised 9/4 BOG) : fell at 11/8

16/09 to 22/09:
3 winning bets from 7
P/L: +5.50pts

September:
8 winners from 22 = 36.36% S.R
P/L: +12.75pts
POI = +57.95%

Overall:
182 winners from 633 = 28.75% S.R
P/L: +113.80pts
ROI: +17.98%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +125.80pts from a 634pt outlay = +19.84% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 9th to 15th September 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 09/09/13 to 15/09/13

It wasn't the best of weeks for SotD, I'm afraid, yet it was far from being our worst! The week kicked off in the same vein as we'd started the month with a very nice 4/1 winner to take the tally to five from nine for the month, but we're still stuck on five winners now.

To use a phrase borrowed from Matt, it was one of those binary weeks ie win or nowhere, as Monday's winner was followed by six unplaced efforts, thanks to a combination of poor runs, misread form by myself, adverse weather affecting the going and also the number of runners etc etc.

We don't, however, use them as excuses and we're just grateful that Monday's winner was priced at 4/1, enabling some damage limitation for the week. In fact, I was quite pleased to get away with a 2pt loss from a week low on quality and consistency.

Selections & Results: 09/09/13 to 15/09/13

09/08: 4.50 Perth: Scotch Warrior (advised 4/1 BOG) : won at 5/2
10/08: 4.00 Redcar: Kiwi Bay (advised 11/2 BOG) : unplaced at 8/1
11/08: 2.00 Doncaster: Finn Class (advised 6/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 13/2
12/08: 5.10 Epsom: Mukhabarat (advised 11/4 BOG) : unplaced at 7/2
13/08: 2.30 Sandown: Yaakooum (advised 100/30 BOG) : unplaced at 11/4
14/08: 2.55 Chester: Cameron Highland (advised 100/30 BOG) : unplaced at 2/1
15/09: 3.50 Curragh: Royal Diamond (advised 11/2 BOG) : unplaced at 9/2

09/09 to 15/09:
1 winning bet from 7
P/L: -2.00pts

September:
5 winners from 15 = 33.33% S.R
P/L: +7.25pts
POI = +48.333%

Overall:
179 winners from 626 = 28.59% S.R
P/L: +108.30pts
ROI: +17.30%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +120.85pts from a 627pt outlay = +19.14% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 2nd to 8th September 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 02/09/13 to 08/09/13

We managed to follow-up last week's 3pt gain with a further profit of 5.75pts this week. SotD is in decent nick at present and with four wins from eight in September so far, the 9.25pts return on the month have already more than cancelled out August's losses of 6.6pts.

It was 3 winners & 2 places from this week's seven runners, with one of the placers: Life And Times going into my notebook as one to look at again next time out.

In fact, since the start of July, we're 19.13pts to the good after a disappointing start to the "summer". We are, however, very aware of the cyclical nature of any "tipping" service here at Geegeez and whilst we're always confident of coming good after a bad run, we know what a roller coaster ride racing is. That's why we all love it so much, I think....

Selections & Results: 02/09/13 to 08/09/13

02/08: 2.10 Hamilton: Omanome (advised 7/2 BOG) : unplaced at 7/2
03/08: 5.30 Musselburgh: Captain Royale (advised 7/2 BOG) : won at 4/1
04/08: 2.20 Lingfield: Outback Traveller (advised 11/4 BOG) : won at 7/4
05/08: 2.30 Haydock: Paradise Watch (advised 9/2 BOG) : unplaced at 4/1
06/08: 4.10 Newcastle: Life And Times (advised 7/2 BOG) : 3rd at 5/1
07/08: 3.55 Stratford: Laudatory (advised 3/1 BOG) : won at 11/4
08/09: 3.55 Dundalk: Diyala (advised 2/1 BOG) : 3rd at 7/4

02/09 to 08/09:
3 winning bets from 7
P/L: +5.75pts

September:
4 winners from 8 = 50.00% S.R
P/L: +9.25pts
POI = +115.63%

Overall:
178 winners from 619 = 28.76% S.R
P/L: +110.30pts
ROI: +17.82%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +122.85pts from a 620pt outlay = +19.81% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 26th August to 1st September

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 26/08/13 to 01/09/13

Last week started well with a 2nd place at 15/2, that with hindsight should have been backed each way, but we quickly followed it up with a nice 9/2 winner. We then had four pretty disappointing unplaced efforts in a row, before ending the week on another high, courtesy of a winner at 7/2.

This meant a satisfying 3pts profit for the week, as a whole but an unsatisfactory loss of 6.6pts (over 21% of our stakes) for the month of August and the monthly strike rate of 19.35% was more than 10% lower than our average...

Selections & Results: 26/08/13 to 01/09/13

26/08: 4.10 Ripon: Robert The Painter (advised 13/2 BOG) : 2nd at 15/2
27/08: 3.05 Ripon: Khalice (advised 9/2 BOG) : won at 11/4
28/08: 5.50 Southwell: Kingscombe (advised 6/1 BOG) : unplaced at 6/1
29/08: 5.10 Lingfield: Josefa Goya (advised 9/4 BOG) : unplaced at 3/1
30/08: 5.00 Sandown: Legends (advised 5/1 BOG) : unplaced at 9/2
31/08: 2.30 Beverley: Minalisa (advised 11/1 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 15/2
01/09: 3.30 Brighton: Soryah (advised 7/2 BOG) : won at 11/4

26/08 to 01/09:
2 winning bets from 7
P/L: +3.00pts

August:
6 winners from 31 = 19.35% S.R
P/L: -6.60pts
POI = -21.29%

September:
1 winner from 1 = 100.00% S.R
P/L: +3.50pts
POI = +350%

Overall:
175 winners from 612 = 28.59% S.R
P/L: +104.55pts
ROI: +17.08%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +116.55pts from a 613pt outlay = +19.01% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 19th to 25th August 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 19/08/13 to 25/08/13

Last week proved to be a bit of a mixed bag with two nice winners, two third place finishers (including a 9/1 E/W bet for us) and three unplaced runners. We'd four selections drifting in the market with one doubling in price from 3/1 to 6/1 and was duly unplaced, whilst our last pick of the week was backed in from 9/1 to 4/1 and made us a small 0.4pt profit, courtesy of a third place finish after being backed E/W.

This meant a profit on the week of 4.4pts, which still leaves us with a 6.1pt deficit on the month, but with six days left, who knows?

Selections & Results: 19/08/13 to 25/08/13

19/08: 4.00 Thirsk: Marcus Caesar (advised 6/1 BOG) : 3rd at 13/2
20/08: 3.45 Brighton: Alzavola (advised 2/1 BOG) : unplaced at 15/8
21/08: 4.40 Lingfield: Cape Factor (advised 3/1 BOG) : won at 7/2
22/08: 6.35 Newton Abbot: Cool Macavity (advised 3/1 BOG) : unplaced at 6/1
23/08: 2.45 Newmarket: Stagemanship (advised 11/4 BOG) : unplaced at 5/2
24/08: 2.10 Newmarket: Ghazi (advised 4/1 BOG) : won at 9/2
25/08: 5.00 Goodwood: Bantam (advised 9/1 E/W BOG) : 3rd at 4/1

19/08 to 25/08:
3 winning bets from 7
P/L: +4.40pts

August:
5 winners from 25 = 20.00% S.R
P/L: -6.10pts
POI = -24.40%

Overall:
173 winners from 605 = 28.460% S.R
P/L: +101.55pts
ROI: +16.79%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +113.55pts from a 606pt outlay = +18.74% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 12th to 18th August 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 12/08/13 to 18/08/13

My August frustrations heightened last week, with a week that proved to be one of two halves. I was infuriatingly close in the first part of the week with four consecutive placers, but alas no winners!

Unfortunately, results took a turn for the worse over the weekend, with none of the selections from Friday to Sunday even making the frame and two of them more than doubled in price.

It puts August's chances of profitability in jeopardy and an upturn in results is needed over the next fortnight or so.

Selections & Results: 12/08/13 to 18/08/13

12/08: 7.40 Windsor: Regal Silk (advised 6/4 BOG) : 2nd at 5/6
13/08: 4.15 Carlisle: Mixed Message (advised 4/1 BOG) : 3rd at 9/2
14/08: 4.30 Salisbury: Silk Route (advised 9/2 BOG) : 3rd at 11/4
15/08: 4.30 Salisbury: My Own Way Home (advised 11/4 BOG) : 3rd at 9/4
16/08: 3.20 Newcastle: The Codger (advised 5/1 BOG) : unplaced at 12/1
17/08: 2.30 Doncaster: Psiloveyou (advised 100/30 non-BOG) : unplaced at 11/4
18/08: 3.45 Pontefract: Nargys (advised 4/1 BOG) : unplaced at 10/1

12/08 to 18/08:
0 winning bets from 7
P/L: -7.00pts

August:
2 winners from 18 = 11.11% S.R
P/L: -10.50pts
POI = -58.33%

Overall:
170 winners from 598 = 28.43% S.R
P/L: +97.15pts
ROI: +16.25%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +109.15pts from a 599pt outlay = +18.22% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 5th to 11th August 2013

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 05/08/13 to 11/08/13

August is proving to be a stop-start frustrating affair. We're certainly getting the value from taking the early BOG prices, as none of our seven selections went off at a higher price than we'd advised, with five of them shortening during the day: a couple of them (13/8 to 4/5 and 11/4 to 6/4) moving quite dramatically.

Unfortunately we weren't rewarded with a bunch of winners to go with the price changes, as we only managed the one success on the week. It was disappointing to see four unplaced selections, but the current monthly deficit of 3.5pts is far from insurmountable with another twenty days to go.

Selections & Results: 05/08/13 to 11/08/13

05/08: 8.30 Windsor: Estinaad (advised 13/2 E/W BOG) : unplaced at 6/1
06/08: 8.10 Ripon: Alwilda (advised 13/8 BOG) : 3rd at 4/5
07/08: 2.40 Newcastle: Key Gold (advised 4/1 BOG) : unplaced at 3/1
08/08: 5.30 Yarmouth: Duke of Destiny (advised 2/1 BOG) : unplaced at 2/1
09/08: 3.20 Lingfield: Victorian Number (advised 11/4 BOG) : won at 6/4
10/08: 5.05 Haydock: Big Thunder (advised 7/2 BOG) : unplaced at 7/2
11/08: 3.10 Windsor: Miliika (advised 4/1 BOG) : 2nd at 3/1

05/08 to 11/08:
1 winning bet from 7
P/L: -3.25pts

August:
2 winners from 11 = 18.18% S.R
P/L: -3.50pts
POI = -31.82%

Overall:
170 winners from 591 = 28.76% S.R
P/L: +104.15pts
ROI: +17.62%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +116.15pts from a 592pt outlay = +19.62% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.

Stat of the Day Update, 29th July to 4th August

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day : Update

Stat of the Day Update: 29/07/13 to 04/08/13

Last week was a good one for SotD and its followers, as we managed two winners, an E/W 3rd and two other placed horses from our seven selections, giving us a 5.1pt profit over the course of the week. All of which meant that July's final figures were very impressive indeed.

The final tally for July was a 1 in 3 strike rate (10/30) and a profit at advised BOG prices of almost 16.5pts, a near 55% return on your money. We've already bagged the first of what we hope will be a glut of August winners as we aim to replicate last year's successes at this time.

Selections & Results: 29/07/13 to 04/08/13

29/07: 7.30 Windsor: Maria Lombardi (advised 5/1 BOG) : unplaced at 9/4
30/07: 4.25 Yarmouth: Saigon City (advised 5/2 BOG) : won at 6/1
31/07: 7.30 Sandown: So Beloved (advised 17/2 E/W BOG) : 3rd at 9/2 (+0.35pts)
01/08: 4.30 Nottingham: West End Lad (advised 5/1 BOG) : unplaced at 8/1
02/08: 5.50 Newmarket: Investment Expert (advised 5/2 BOG) : 2nd at 11/4
03/08: 3.30 Newmarket: Urban Dance (advised 11/4 BOG) : won at 5/2
04/08: 4.55 Newmarket: Serenity Spa (advised 4/1 BOG) : 3rd at 11/4

29/07 to 04/08:
3 winning bets from 7
P/L: +5.10pts

July:
10 winners from 30 = 33.33% S.R
P/L: +16.48pts
POI = +54.93%

August:
1 winner from 4 = 25.00% S.R
P/L: -0.25pts
POI = -6.25%

Overall:
169 winners from 584 = 28.94% S.R
P/L: +107.35pts
ROI: +18.38%
plus a 12pt profit from 1 forecast => +119.35pts from a 585pt outlay = +20.40% ROI

P.S. The full month by month SotD story can be found right here.
P.P.S The review of SotD's 2012 performance is here.