Tag Archives: Sandown

Stat of the Day, 2nd February 2013

Stat of the Day: 02/02/13

Stat of the Day: 02/02/13

Stat of the Day, 2nd February 2013

Another second placed finish yesterday, as Sun Cloud battled in vain to catch the winner in an attritional contest in the mud. We secured a small profit on the day to start february off on the right track and we'll look to build on that with a trip to Esher in Surrey.

Our contest today is the opening race on the card, as a decent looking field of nine runners are set to take on a Class 2, two-mile, handicap chase on heavy ground (soft in the back straight) in the...

1.50 Sandown

Today's card at Sandown is an all chase affair and when it comes to these chase contests here, Alan King has been the go to man in recent years. His record in the last two years reads 19821511P2, giving him a 40% win and 60% place strike rate in that time. The win bets alone have yielded 5.75pts profit at SP (57.5% POI).

Today's contest is a handicap affair and that good record of Alan's is virtually replicated with a form line of 982111P, giving a win strike rate of almost 43% for 5.25pts profit (75% POI) and E/W backers have seen a return in over 57% of the races.

In true SotD fashion, Alan King has just the one runner here today: Oh Crick.

Oh Crick is a decent handicap chaser on his day and made a good enough start to the season, finishing sixth in a pipe opener at Cheltenham, before running a very creditable second at Newbury in December, where he finished just four lengths behind Ulck du Lin ( who has subsequently won again), despite conceding a stone in weight to the winner. He is now only a pound higher than that Newbury run and a repeat of that level of performance should see him go close today.

Overall Oh Crick has a pretty decent strike of 22% wins and 39% places (8 wins and 6 places from 36) and backing him blindly has yielded 6.6pts profit (18.33%), whilst E/W backers have made almost 9pts. Admittedly not earth-shattering returns, but there aren't many horses out there showing a profit from blind backing over 36 races!

He does seem to go well at this time of year, though. His record in the month of February reads 11241, making 12pts for his backers and 15.4pts for E/W bets.

All this in mind, I'd have had him at around the 7/1 to 8/1 mark, but a poor run last time out coupled with him being weighted higher than he's ever won at (a claimer helps redress that, though!) means there's a bit more juice in the odds and today I'm suggesting a 0.5pts E/W bet on Oh Crick at 11/1 BOG with BetVictor. This 11/1 was the best around at 1030, Bet365, 888sport and Blue Square were all offering 10/1, but you really should...

Click here for the latest betting on the 1.50 Sandown

Stat of the Day, 1st September 2012

Stat of the Day 01/09

Stat of the Day 01/09

Stat of the Day, 1st September 2012

Yesterday was one of those SotD days where it all went to plan! Our advised 13/2 crumbled as the day progressed into a starting price of 7/2: the headgear worked, so the horse made a better start than of late and he finished with his usual late burst.

I took 13/2 E/W, but I know many of you ended up with 7/2 as a straight win bet, so you didn't actually miss too much profit that way. Saturday's are notoriously tricky, but I intend to follow up yesterday's win in a Group 3 Fillies & Mares race over a mile.

The ground is good to firm (good in places) and 16 runners are set to go to post for the Atalanta Stakes aka the...

3.25 Sandown

Sir Mark Prescott's career stats at Sandown make for interesting reading, because they are quite simply excellent. Quite often on SotD, our sample size is fairly small, but we're talking about 55 races this time. Yet, 55 races is a drop in the ocean for this trainer: it only represents around 1.6% of his total output. This would suggest that Sir Mark is very choosy about which of his charges he sends to this track.

His infrequent use of Sandown seems to work, though, as 19 of those 55 runners have gone on to win here (34.6%) and a further 18 have made the frame for an overall place strike rate of 67.3%. These figures are highly impressive, but some of the data is now quite old, so we should focus on more recent form.

His last 15 runners to Sandown (since May 2010) have yielded six winners (40%) and five other placers (place SR 73.3%), so he's clearly a man to watch here. As is often the case for SotD, Sir Mark has just one runner at Sandown today: Clinical, who looks to have good E/W claims at the very least.

Clinical is proven at this level, having beaten Joviality to take the Princess Elizabeth stakes at Epsom in June: Joviality, of course, went on to win a Group 2 race at Ascot three weeks later. Our selection has a good record at races from 7f to 1m1f on a variety of surfaces/going, with 5 wins and a place from 10 outings, with a similar 50% strike rate at today's trip. The Nassau was too tough a test for her, but this one should be more to her liking.

It's not the easiest race to win and this is reflected in the prices available. You can take 17/2 BOG with BetVictor paying 1/5 odds for the first three home or 8/1 BOG at 1/4 odds for a place with Bet365. I'm playing it safe with Bet365 for the increased place payout, but you should always...

Click here for the latest odds for the 3.25 Sandown.

Stat of the Day, 6th July 2012

Stat of the Day 06/07

Stat of the Day 06/07

Stat of the Day: 6th July 2012

Good Morning (just!), apologies for the lateness of SotD today. Atrocious weather in East Lancashire overnight resulted in a loss of power, which has only recently been restored and conditions here are more suited to the Boat Race than horse racing. Today's cards & weather do not make for an easy punting experience and I'd suggest you tread very carefully. If this rain persists, it could make life very difficult for racing at Haydock, Doncaster & Beverley: Warwick has already gone!

Our difficulties have been further compounded by the sudden withdrawal of today's selection whilst I was compilng this piece, so I've had to go back to the drawing board for a secondary option!

So, we're now going to tackle a 10-furlong, Class 3 Handicap on what is probably the dryest track being used today! Our race is the...

4.35 Sandown

Trainer Sarah Humphrey isn't renowned for her flat racing prowess: just 13 runners in 5 years! And before March of this year, she'd never sent any horses (flat or jumps!) to Sandown Park. Her charge that day was a faller in the grand Military Gold Cup priced at 40/1. Since then she has had 2 entries on the flat here at Sandown: both contested by and indeed won by today's SotD selection: Chain of Events.

Chain of Events ran twice at Sandown in 2011 for previous trainer Neil King, resulting in two places (a 2nd and a 3rd). Since moving to Sarah Humphrey, he has woth both outings over Course & Distance, once on Soft ground and once on Good ground.

He obviously likes the course, will get the ground, even if it softens up a touch and is in good heart as he attempts to complete a hat-trick in a shade over 5 weeks. This race, however, looks tougher than his 2 previous outings and as such, I'm putting him forward as an E/W bet today, and I've taken some of the 14/1 BOG widely available this morning, but you can (and really should!)...

Click here for the latest odds for the 4.35 Sandown .