Tag Archives: Richard Ford

Stat of the Day, 26th October 2015

Stat of the Day, 26th October 2015

Saturday's Result :

3.00 Newbury : What About Carlo @ 8/1 E/W BOG : 9th at 7/1 (Slowly into stride, always towards rear)

Monday's selection runs in the...

2.45 Ayr :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Derryfadda @ 5/1 BOG

Why?

Trainer Richard Ford's record with horses priced at 6/4 to 12/1 in NH handicaps since the start of 2008 stands at 26 winners from 148 (17.6% SR) for level stakes profits of 38.9pts at an ROI of 26.5%, and with today's race in mind, those runners are...

  • aged 5 to 8 : 21/106 (19.8% SR) for 44.3pts (+41.8% ROI)
  • Class 5 : 15/87 (17.2% SR) for 24.4pts (+28.4% ROI)
  • ridden by Harry Challoner : 11/66 (16.7% SR) for 34.4pts (+52.9% ROI)
  • hurdlers : 11/60 (18.3% SR) for 42.1pts (+70.1% ROI)

And... Richard Ford's 5 to 8 yr old, Class 3 to 5 handicap hurdlers priced at 5/2 to 12/1 ridden by Harry Challoner are 6 from 22 (27.3% SR) for 39.5pts (+179.5% ROI).

I should also throw in the fact that since 2008, Class 3 to 5 handicap hurdlers, aged 5 to 9, sent out 2 to 5 days after their run, have won 176/895 (19.7% SR) contests for profits of 808.4pts at an ROI of 90.3%, provided that recent run wasn't their first in the last three months.

And my recommended bet?

A 1pt win bet on Derryfadda at 5/1 BOG with either of Coral, BetVictor, Betfair and/or Hills, whilst Betway are the same price, but don't go BOG until 10.00am and have a minimum £10 stake to get BOG whilst Ladbrokes will go BOG at 9.00am

I've gone with Coral, as they'll refunds a defeat by up to a head, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 2.45 Ayr

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

Stat of the Day, 21st July 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 21st July 2012

Yet another abandoned meeting yesterday meant my 33/1 poke was never to be, and we're back to familiar hunting grounds today, and old friends, in the…

3.35 Cartmel

It's Cartmel, so the first man I look to is SotD's old mate, Richard Ford. A local chap, and a course specialist, Ford has figures in recent years of seven winners from 28 runners (25% strike rate).

His chase figures are even more eye-catching, with five of those winners coming over the larger impediments, from just a dozen starters, and yielding 25.5 point profit.

Today's sole runner is Colditz, a course specialist, at least since Ford acquired him. In those two years, Colditz has run nine times, four of them here. His record elsewhere is 45212, and his record at Cartmel is 1331.

That last 1 was over course and distance, and on soft ground, in this class.

He has gone up a fair whack in the handicap for those consistent performances, but is still racing off a lowly mark of 88, bad enough to ensure he remains in Class 5 company. It's my view that the class of opposition is always more important than the weight carried, so the 11-06 here ought not to be a worry.

Actually, when Tony McCoy rode him to victory on Colditz' last start here, he lugged eleven stone, and today's burden is reduced to 11-01 by Harry Challoner's five pound allowance.

It's a competitive race for the grade, but with conditions all in our favour, 4/1 BOG looks fair enough.

Click here for the latest odds for the 3.35 Cartmel.