Tag Archives: Perth

Stat of the Day, 27th September 2012

Stat of the Day 27/09

Stat of the Day 27/09

Stat of the Day, 27th September 2012

Refractor was disappointing yesterday, as Martin Lane seemed to have timed his run for the line just right, but when the button was pushed, the response was inadequate and he didn't even get placed. He lost 3rd place virtually on the line, finally finishing 4th at 9/2, marginally shorter than our advised 5/1.

We're heading back up North today for a Class 4 Handicap Chase over
2 miles 4.5 furlongs. 8 runners are set to jump off on good ground to compete for The Centenary Silver Plate also known as the...

3.20 Perth

Malcolm Jefferson doesn't send many horses to Perth, just 10 in the last two years in fact. Those 10 runners however have yielded 3 winners and a place with a level stakes profit of some 24pts. Of those 10 runners,
6 have been chasers and those 6 runners have a record of 5311P1 for a 28pt profit.

Malcolm's yard is in decent nick too, despite a dearth of action recently. He's had just 9 runners out in the last two months, but their record of 112671432 for another 28.5pt profit is also highly impressive.

Today's SotD selection : Aneyeforaneye is responsible for a 11/2 win and a 2nd place from those 9 runners in the last 2 months, so the horse herself is in decent form, showing some promise on her only two chase outings to date. She only went down by a length last time out, whilst trying to give 6lbs to the winner. Her overall career record is pretty good too, with 3 wins already to date from 16 outings, but more tellingly she has only failed to make the frame on three occasions, showing great consistency.

This race is possibly a bit tougher than her two previous races, but she has run well in this class before, scoring 2 wins from 7 at Class 4 with an overall record at this level of 3213142.

This level of consistency allied to  the fact it's a tougher contest leads me to advising an E/W bet today, and as the current market is showing 9/1 BOG (bet365, Betfred and Boylesports) and 10/1 non-BOG with
Sporting Bet, this seems to be the sensible (and safer!) option.

So, for SotD records purposes, I'll be taking 0.5pts E/W at 9/1 BOG on Aneyeforaneye,
but I suggest that you...

Click here for all the latest odds for the 3.20 Perth.

P.S. I should also point out that Mr Jefferson has another chaser in the 5.05 Perth in the form of
The Magic Bishop, who also looks to have a good chance today. (currently 9/2 BOG with BetVictor)
in a race the trainer won last year

Stat of the Day, 18th August 2012

Stat of the Day 18/08

Stat of the Day 18/08

Stat of the Day, 18th August 2012

Matt is occupied elsewhere this weekend, so I'm dipping my toes back into the water in a bid to find a successful conclusion to what has already been a good week for us all involved with SotD. Dashwood failed to dash for us yesterday, but at 33/1 it wasn't a massive surprise, so no major disappointments there.

Our quest for a Saturday winner takes us North of the border today for a Class 2 Handicap Hurdle. We're expecting good ground for the eleven runners scheduled to tackle the 2m½f in the Summer Champion Hurdle aka the...

4.15 Perth

Our go-to trainer for Perth has to be Peter Bowen: he doesn't send hundreds of horses to Perth, but the few that do venture North are often well rewarded. In the past two years, he has only had ten representatives at this track, yet has managed to collect prize money on no less than seven occasions, courtesy of six winners and a place. This has rewarded his followers with a level stakes profit of 16pts from those 10 races.

During these fruitful times, Mr Bowen has called upon the services of Tom O'Brien for 8 of those rides: resulting in 4 wins and 2 places and the pair of them join forces again today for just the one ride on Kian's Delight, our SotD pick of the day.

Kian's Delight is a fast improving progressive type and ran really well last time out. On that occasion, he finished second behind Local Hero in a listed event at Market Rasen, despite running from 3lbs out of the handicap. A continuation of his progression or even a run to that same standard should be enough to see him home today in what looks a slightly easier task. With this in mind, the 5/1 BOG currently on offer from bet365, BetVictor and Paddy Power looks quite generous, so I'm in at that price. No half measures today: it's win only for SotD on this one. I'd expect that price to contract as the day goes on, so it would be wise to...

Click here for the latest odds for the 4.15 Perth.