Tag Archives: Market Rasen

Stat of the Day, 27th April 2013

Stat of the Day: 27/04/13

Stat of the Day: 27/04/13

Stat of the Day, 27th April 2013

It was the bridesmaid role for us again yesterday, It's My Time ran an excellent race, but just managed to find one other rival too good for her. Thankfully we'd gone E/W and the 7/1 Sp ensured that we at least made 38% profit on our total 1pt stake. Better than a poke in the eye, I say.

A change of scenery today as we head South to Lincolnshire for a Class 4 Mares' Handicap Hurdle over 2m 1f, better know as the...

2.30 Market Rasen:

I was talking to an old friend a few weeks back about racing and stats etc and he said that he looks for Course and Distance winners running after a win last time out, so when I got back from my holiday I delved into the databases to have a look.

What I saw was that horses in this category are successful in 22% of their races here at Market Rasen and last season saw three winners from eleven such qualifiers (27.3%) returning level stakes profits of 7.25pts (65.9% ROI) and there are actually three such horses running today: Keeverfield (3.05 race) and Be My Deputy (in the 3.40) both look to have good chances today, but their odds are likely to be a bit prohibitive for us at SotD, leaving us with the one that interests me the most: Cool Baranca.

Much of the premise around SotD is that trainers and horses are creatures of habit and this also applies in bringing us to select Cool Baranca today. She won this race last year, so she's got that C&D win under her belt and that victory came off the back off a win at Ayr. She comes here today to attempt to win this race again, also off the back of a victory in that corresponding race at Ayr.

When she took this race last year, she was running off a mark some 10lbs higher than today and despite a 4lb hike in the weights for that last win, she looks more than fairly well treated stepping back down to Class 4 racing after her recent Class 3 victory.

Bearing in mind that she took this race at an SP of 4/6 last year, we're not getting rich today and I'd expect her to be the justified favourite in this renewal. But having expected to see her at around 5/2 this morning, I was fairly happy to see BetVictor offering 10/3, so the play is a 1pt win bet onĀ Cool Baranca at 10/3 (BOG, of course!) with BetVictor. There were, however, only three firms with a price on the board at 8.00am, so once the market forms fully, please...

Click here for the latest betting on the 2.30 Market Rasen

Stat of the Day, 10th March 2013

Stat of the Day: 08/03/13

Stat of the Day: 10/03/13

Stat of the Day, 9th March 2013

Of course, Pine Creek finished where all good each way bets finish: one spot outside the places. Some of you managed to bet with bet365 and their five places offer, so well done to you. But it's another -1 on the official SotD score card, I'm afraid.

It's Lincolnshire today, and the...

3.50 Market Rasen

We'll side with a horse whose performances on ground softer than good and in class 3 or lower reads 2123333.

Today's soft ground Class 3 handicap hurdle should be right up Crowning Jewel's street then. As regards trips, his form at around three miles is 31, and all his runs have been for this jockey.

If you can forgive a poor run last time - which is easy enough given it was a higher class and a half mile shorter trip - then he must have every chance of at least making the frame today, and 11/2 BOG with Paddy Power is fair enough. Each way a pleasure, sir.

Do make sure you...

Click here for the latest betting on the 3.50 Market Rasen

Stat of the Day, 8th July 2012

Stat of the Day 08/07

Stat of the Day 08/07

Stat of the Day: 8th July 2012

Some respite for SotD followers yesterday as Redera came home in 3rd place. He finished more than 8 lengths in front of the next horse, but he never looked like troubling the first two home. In fact, he was some 15 lengths shy of the runner-up! But as an E/W bet, we collected something and we move on to fight again!

It's all about course specialists today as we head off to rural Lincolnshire for a 2 mile, 6.5 furlong Class 4 Handicap Chase, where ten runners will do battle on the soft ground in the...

4.15 Market Rasen

As I said earlier, we're looking at course specialists today: trainer Barry Leavy's record over the last couple of years reads 11330, whilst jockey Timmy Murphy's record at the track reads 01221 and none of Mr Leavy's five runners were ridden by Mr Murphy. The fact they both have 2 winners and 2 places from 5 is purely coincidental: but the kind of thing we like here at SotD!

It will, by now, not be a surprise to hear both trainer and jockey have just one entry planned for today and that is obviously our selection for today: Kirkhammerton.

Kirkhammerton, himself, is no stranger to Market Rasen, with his own record here in the last couple of years reading 133: including a win and a place over today's chase course. Kirkhammerton was narrowly beaten by Delgany Gunner at Uttoxeter last time out, but our selection re-opposes 2lbs better off today, which should be enough to reverse that form and he's now carrying bottom weight, which looks very lenient if he can run to anything like the form he is capable of producing.

I was half tempted to suggest another E/W bet, but I think the 7/1 BOG on offer at both Ladbrokes and William Hill is very reasonable, so I have taken some of that as a win only bet. If you choose to wait or even go E/W on this one, then I recommend you...

Click here for the latest odds for the 4.15 Market Rasen.