Tag Archives: Daniel Muscutt

Stat of the Day, 3rd May 2017

Tuesday's Result :

2.30 Brighton : Foxcatcher @ 11/4 BOG non-runner Declared: Tue 02 May 8.52am Reason: Going

Wednesday's pick hopefully goes in the...

6.35 Brighton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Tommys Geal9/2 BOG

Why?

A 5 yr old mare who has 2 wins and 2 places to her name from 5 runs here at Brighton and all of her four career wins to date were under today's jockey Daniel Muscutt, so conditions look fine for another good run and although she hasn't raced over this 1m4f trip before, she did win over just one furlong shorter two starts ago and is 2 from 5 over 1m2f on this track.

Her Jockey, the afore-mentioned Daniel Muscutt is 8/31 (25.8% SR) for 54.66pts (+176.3% ROI) here at Brighton over the last three seasons, including...

  • in hcps : 7/29 (24.1%) for 51.5pts (+177.7%)
  • at Class 6 : 5/15 (33.3%) for 58pts (+386.9%)
  • on Good ground : 4/12 (33.3%) for 44.17pts (+368.1%)
  • females are 3/12 (25%) for 22.73pts (+189.4%)
  • and those trained by Michael Madswick are 2/7 (28.6%) for 20.84pts at an ROI of 297.7%.

She's by Halling, whose offspring seem to like it here at Brighton, winning 20 of their 84 outings (23.8% SR) for 39.22pts (+46.7% ROI) profit since 2009, of which...

  • handicappers are 18/73 (24.7%) for 37.63pts (+51.5%)
  • Class 6 runners are 12/51 (236.5%) for 24.44pts (+47.9%)
  • those priced at 11/4 to 12/1 are 15/46 (32.6%) for 63.88pts (+138.9%)
  • at this 1.5 mile trip : 10/24 (41.7%) for 18.58pts (+77.4%)
  • and on good ground : 4/17 (23.5%) for 13.08pts (+76.9%)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Tommys Geal9/2 BOG which was widely available at 7.45pm on Tuesday, but do grab the 5/1 BOG from BetVictor if you can! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 6.35 Brighton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

Stat of the Day, 26th July 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 26th July 2012

A solid run behind a well fancied favourite for our SotD pick, Burke's Rock, yesterday, and a profit on an each way ticket at 17/2 returned odds.

I'm late again this morning, as this infernal heat is turning Geegeez Towers into a convection oven and precluding sleep in quite a major way. So, apologies for that, and off to the roller coaster track we go, and the…

7.40 Epsom

SotD has many friends in the training ranks, and none more so perhaps than Andrew Balding. The Kingsclere Conjuror has a knack of producing nice priced winners just when we need one, and I'm hoping today will increase my affection for his timing as well as his talent.

Balding runs two tonight at Epsom, a track where his record is exceptional (17 wins from 73 runs, +54.7 points in the last five years). The first is a once raced maiden, Pearl Bounty, who has a chance but is not my pick here.

The second, and SotD's big hope for today, has more form, including a piece on the famously quirky Epsom strip. Perfect Mission was third here on just his second start, and has recently been plying his trade exclusively on the all weather circuit. Indeed, his last seven runs have all been on the sand, with one win and four places from that septet of starts.

Back on turf tonight, he is compromised a little by a wide draw, and will need his apprentice rider to get across pronto from box fourteen. But, if he can manage that, Perfect Mission will carry him into the race against what looks like a lot of dead wood in the opposition.

Perfect Mission has won off 70 on the all weather, and was second off 75 on the turf, so his mark of 72 here looks fair if not a snip. The ground will be fine too and, while the front-running favourite Moodhill will bid to make all, I'm hoping the Balding beast can mow him down inside the final furlong.

He's 8/1 with Coral, not best odds guaranteed, but I suspect he'll be shorter come post time, so we'll have a bit of that each way today.

Latest odds can be checked if you…

Click here for the latest odds for the 7.40 Epsom.