Stat of the Day, 12th June 2015
We went from the sublime of Richard Hughes' ride on Wednesday to the ridiculous of Yeeoow's disappointing performance at Nottingham on Thursday.
He set off well enough and was prominent in the early stages but faded to the extent that he was the last of the 7 runners to finish, well beaten by 14 lengths.
I'll be hoping/expecting for better on Friday in the...
A Class 3, 5-runner handicap chase over 2m 5f on good ground where the call is a 5/2 BOG bet on Brody Bleu.
This horse has won 6 chases and a point to point over trips of 2m3f to 2m6f on a variety on ground conditions ranging from Good to Soft all the way through to Good to Firm. He was a 5/2 winner at Exeter last time out and is only rated 2lbs higher than his last win, which was his fourth in eight starts this year.
He's trained by Robert Walford, who has tasted quite a bit of success in his relatively short training career so far. In NH handicaps since the start of 2013, he has saddled up 21 winners from 96 runners (21.9% SR) for level stakes profits of 19pts at an ROI of 19.8% ROI, of which he's 2/5 for 5.75pts here at Newton Abbot.
Robert's handicap chasers are 16/46 (34.8% SR) for 22.8pts (+49.7% ROI), with his Class 3/4 runners winning 15 of 43 (34.9% SR) for 22.3pts (+51.9% ROI). Those who won last time out won again on 7 of 11 (63.6% SR) occasions for 12.75pts (+115.9% ROI).
The Walford class 3/4 handicap chasers priced at 4/6 to 8/1 are 15/36 (41.7% SR) for 29.3pts (+81.3% ROI) with LTO winners winning again 7 out of 10 times for 13.74pts profits.
Brody Bleu is in scintillating form at present finishing 23231111 this year, winning each of his last four outings. He's 6/16 over fences and conditions look ideal for him here today, as he's...
- 4/8 on good ground
- 5/13 under Felix de Giles
- 2/3 at this grade
- 1/1 here at Newton Abbot
- 6/13 in races of 5 to 8 runners
With those conditions in place and his recent form allied to his trainer's overall record, I wouldn't be surprised to see Brody Bleu complete a 5-timer in the space of 80 days. If he does achieve the feat, then I'll be collecting another 2.5pts profit from my 5/2 BOG bet with Bet365.
There should be no problem for us all to get those odds as that price is currently available in 8 bookies as I know of, so you can either go with my choice or take your pick of the rest by...
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