Stat of the Day: 10th July 2012
There's not a great deal to say about yesterday's selection. I advised a 20/1 price, the horse went off at 20/1 and ran like a 20/1 shot!
Perhaps that last part is a little harsh, as Monymusk certainly made every effort to get home and put some good work in between the 3f and 1f poles, but weakened quite badly late on: eventually finishing back in 8th place, a good 18 lengths away from the money.
To make the best of this glorious British summer we're having, we're taking SotD off to the beach today for a Class 6 Claimer over a mile on the Nottinghamshire Fibresand, as ten 3yr olds line up to do battle in the...
Trainer Hughie Morrison's recent record at the is track is excellent with 22 winners from 70 here bringing a level stakes profit of almost 30pts. His place strike rate is a very creditable 64% too. We can further draw down on Mr Morrison's figures here and see that in 2012 alone, his record is 9 winners and 5 placers from just 18 races: incredible stuff! But wait, we're not quite finished there: his 3 yr olds are 6 wins and 2 places from 8 in 2012. He clearly is our trainer to go to at present for Southwell.
So, let's look at his entries for tonight. he has two runners at the track this evening. The first of which is Frederickthegreat who runs at 7.05 and is making his first appearance on the Fibresand, but the yard so have an uncanny knack of getting their charges to fire on their track debut. The horse will be in good hands this evening with Darryll Holland on board. Darryll also has a tremendous record at Southwell with a 25% win strike rate (9pts profit) and a 44% place strike rate in the last couple of years.
It should also be noted that Messrs Morrison & Holland don't often team up together at Southwell: just 4 occasions in the past, but these resulted in two winners and a place! Their only combination with a 3yr old runner came 7 weeks ago when Abi Scarlet was a 2.5 lengths winner.
When we combine all these isolated facts into one piece, it's enough for me to put forward Frederickthegreat as a selection for SotD and I recommend the current 11/2 BOG on offer from bet365, but you can always...
Click here for the latest odds for the 7.05 Southwell.
Now, in these times of financial uncertainty, we often see lots of special offers on the high street and today we're going to give you a two-for-one offer!
Our Morrison/Holland partnership have a second 3 yr old runner on the Southwell card in the form of Tunnager Grove (8.35 race), who ran really well at Warwick last time out, finishing second, despite having no luck whatsoever in running and a drop to 6f this evening might well be the trick. Obviously all the above stats still apply and the recommended bet is 11/4 BOG with Paddy Power, but please do click here for the latest odds for the 8.35 Southwell.
So, that's 2 x 0.5pts win bets for today.
All the best and I'll be back tomorrow!