Stat of the Day, 17th February 2017

Thursday's Result :

13:55 Kelso : Spanish Fleet @ 10/3 BOG 2nd With leader, not fluent 5th, reminders 7th and lost 2nd place, kept on to chase winner run-in, held towards finish

Friday's pick goes in the...

16:15 Sandown

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Twenty Eight Guns @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

This seven year old mare is in the form of her life, with figures this NH season of 41211. She is chasing a hat trick here today, and although she has risen sharply up the weights due to this form, I am hopeful the extra distance today will bring out even further improvement.

The following stats back up her case.

  • she is 3/6 (50%) on today's going for 3.75pts
  • she is 1/1 in this class of race
  • trainer Michael Scudamore is 20/93 (21.51%) with his chasers for 20.88pts
  • with LTO winners Scudamore is 9/30 (30%) for 36.67pts
  • Twenty Eight Guns sire does very well with middle distance jumpers and is 21/144 (14.58%) for 32.95pts

...pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Twenty Eight Guns @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 18:50 on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 16:15 Sandown

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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