Stat of the Day, 9th June 2013

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 9th June 2013

Another good winner for Chris yesterday, beating the 11/4 SP with his recommended 7/2 early price, so I've a challenge to replicate his fine form while he enjoys a day off. Faint heart never won fair maiden, and I'm having a small dig at probably the most competitive race of the day, the...

4.30 Perth

No yard is in better fettle right now than Peter Bowen's. The man is almost literally on fire, but mercifully the only burns on show are to those bookmakers whose fingers dare take the Welsh wizard on.

Specifically, in the last fourteen days, Bowen has saddled 28 runners, with ten of them winniner (36%), and another eight hitting the frame (64% place strike rate). He runs just one today, and he's gone all the way to Perth, the northernmost course in the British Isles, to do it.

Mumbles Head is a twelve year old now, but age didn't stop him winning this race last year as an eleven year old. His form appears to have tapered off in recent starts, and it's possible he's regressive now. But it's also possible his mark has been managed for a repeat tilt at this good prize. He won it off a handicap rating of 129 last year, and went up to as high as 142. Just a few runs later, and he's 'magically' back on 129, the same as last year.

His form here at Perth is, ahem, 1111, which gives cause for optimism, and he's ridden by Tom O'Brien, who has won six times from just fourteen mounts (and been placed on another five occasions).

He's been well backed, from 7's and 6's into 5's, and that price is going too. But it's still available with Coral, Ladbrokes and Hills, BOG, so grab it while you can, win only of course.

Click here for the latest betting on the 4.30 Perth

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