Stat of the Day, 9th August 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 9th August 2012

No joy again yesterday, and a change of chair today. It's August, the sun is shining (briefly), and so we're off to the seaside, down south.

We're headed for the…

3.50 Brighton

Mark Johnston is a man in ridiculously good form just now. He's had 26 winners in the last fourteen days for a level stakes profit of 64.71 points!

His record at Brighton is excellent, too, with five year figures of thirteen winners from 44 runners, for a profit of 40.32 units.

And today, he's got one of those 3yo middle distance handicappers against older horses that I love at this time of  year.

The horse in question is called Maastricht, and this is his first run outside of his own age group. As a consequence, he gets the juicy weight for age allowances against his elders here. That means that, although he's only a pound off top weight, he actually carries twelve pounds - almost a stone - less than top weight. Nice.

The trip should be fine, and so should Brighton's quirky track, and this is a big drop in class to Class 4. So far this season, he's been running in Class 2 and 3. The ground should be spot on too and Kieren Fallon will provide every assistance from the saddle.

Whilst Richard Hannon's three year old, Varnish, is also getting allowances, he has been running in this class to date, and needs to improve.

Maastricht is 9/2 BOG in a couple of places, and I'll take that win only, but you can always…

Click here for the latest odds for the 3.50 Brighton.

2 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 9th August 2012

  1. Mal.

    Hi Matt,
    i too have been following 3yo’s in HC’s, and agree with your thoughts on Maastrichts chance, although one of my rules is for it to be bottom weight. Thought i’d let you know of 2 others running today.

    Tavellu – 5.10 Haydock. In Mal Boyles ‘well i declare’, he states ‘ All six winners to date have carried weights of 9-3 or less’. tavellu carries 8-10, the only runner below 9-3.

    Critical Point – 5.00 Yarmouth. Prescott has a very good record with runners in 1st time blinkers in HC’s.

    Best, Mal.

Leave a Reply

This site uses Akismet to reduce spam. Learn how your comment data is processed.