Stat of the Day, 8th June 2017

Wednesday's Result :

8.35 Ripon : Pumblechook @ 11/2 BOG 3rd at 6/5 Chased leaders, led over 2f out, ridden over 1f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra towards finish beaten by just over a length and a half.

Thursday's pick goes in the...

7.35 Sandown...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Hold Sway3/1 BOG

Why?

Trainer Charlie Appleby is 15/48 (31.25% SR) for 23.15pts (+48.2% ROI) over the last 30 days and 5/17 (29.4%) for 11.9pts (+70%) in the last fortnight, whilst overall here at Sandown his runners are 10/58 (17.2%) for 5.94pts (+10.24%), of which...

  • males are 10/49 (20.4) for 14.9pts (+30.5%)
  • those priced at 7/1 and shorter are 9/39 (23.1%) for 3.58pts (+9.2%)
  • and at Class 3 : 4/16 (25%) for 5.3pts (+33.1%)

Jockey James Doyle is 7/33 (21.2% SR) over the last 30 days and 3/13 (23.1%) for 10.01pts (+77%) in the past week, whilst here at Sandown in Class 2 to 4 handicaps since the start of 2013, he has ridden 11 winners from 74 (14.9% SR) for 8.11pts (+11% ROI) profit.

Together, the Appleby/Doyle partnership is 10/49 (20.4% SR) for 3.18pts (+6.5% ROI) profit in handicaps since the start of the 2015 season, including...

  • males at 9/38 (23.7%) for 10.71pts (+28.2%)
  • those priced at 2/1 to 7/1 are 8/29 (27.6%) for 19.23pts (+66.3%)
  • 3 yr olds are 7/27 (25.9%) for 12.65pts (+46.9%)
  • over trips of 1m2f to 1m6f : 5/16 (31.25%) for 17.87pts (+111.7%)
  • at Class 3 : 2/8 (25%) for 8.39pts (+104.9%)
  • and here at Sandown : 2/3 (66.6%) for 13.39pts (+446.4%)

And the horse? Well, he's a 3 yr old colt who hasn't yet finished outside the frame (2321) in four starts. He won over this trip on similarly good to soft ground last time out wearing cheekpieces (worn again) in a 7-runner race (7 go here too).

...all pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Hold Sway3/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.20pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.35 Sandown

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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