Stat of the Day, 8th July 2015
I always try to put a positive outlook on the previous SotD runner, regardless of result, but I'm really struggling here!
Neutron Bomb was just poor, well beaten and eventually trailed home last of nine runners and we didn't even beat SP, which was the same 6/1 as I'd taken/advised.
I haven't got the time or the energy to attempt to find somethnig nice about the run and my dear old gran used to tell me to say nothing if I couldn't say anything nice, so I'll move swiftly on to Wednesday's...
Same venue as yesterday, but a totally different race. This is a Class 5 handicap over 1m6f, where my shilling is on Mick Channon's 4 yr old filly Stoneham who is currently priced at 5/1 BOG to beat her older rivals here.
Now, some of my posts for SotD are quite long and contain some relatively complicated microsystems, but I'm going to keep it relatively short, simple and hopefully sweet here!
Mick Channon's record at Wolverhampton since the start of 2012 is decent with 28 winners from 148 (18.9% SR) for 46.6pts (+31.5% ROI) profit, broken down as follows...
- Class 4 to 6 runners are 27/141 (19.2% SR) for 45.1pts (+31.9% ROI)
- Handicappers are 16/80 (20% SR) for 57.3pts (+71.7% ROI)
- Horses ridden by Charlie Bishop are 8/26 (30.8% SR) for 53.5pts (+205.6% ROI)
- Those running beyond 1m4f are 5/12 (41.7% SR) for 41.2pts (+343.1% ROI)
In class 4 to 6 handicaps Mick's horses are 15/73 (20.6% SR) for 55.7pts (+76.3% ROI) profit with Charlie Bishop riding 5 winners from 17 (29.4% SR) for 35.5pts (+208.6% ROI)
Stoneham is a horse in form, having finished 32212231 in eight starts this year, she has won twice on this tapeta surface and is 3221 here at Wolverhampton in 2015.
She likes to be held up off the pace for a later run and with three confirmed front runners in the field, the door could be left open for a finisher, especially one with Stoneham's stamina: she was a winner in a 2m hurdle last time out and has already won on this track over 16.5f, so I've no reservations about her not having something left late on.
She also finished 12231 in her last 5 runs going left handed and she's 32212 the last five times Charlie Bishop has ridden her, so conditions look favourable here as does a mark of 60, which might be a little generous.
And that's about it!
Other than to say that you should all be able to get on at 5/1 BOG, because there are currently at least 8 bookies offering that price, as seen by...
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