Stat of the Day, 8th December 2016

Wednesday's Result :

7.15 Kempton : Timekeeping @ 5/2 BOG 3rd at 7/4 Tracked leaders, led over 3f out, headed inside final furlong, no extra.

Thursday's pick goes in the...

2.40 Taunton

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Winning Spark @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

After Wednesday's stack of stats, it's quite a short/simple one today with a 9 yr old gelding with course and distance form trained by a handler who seems to get more than expected from a small string of handicappers.

That trainer is Jackie du Plessis, who has had 17 handicap wins from just 109 runs (15.6% SR) over the last 4 years, resulting in level stakes profits of 35.43pts at an attractive ROI of 32.5% and that's from blindly backing all of them.

In terms of today's contests, those 109 runners are...

  • 16/97 (16.5%) for 36.46pts (+37.6%) from her male runners
  • 13/83 (15.7%) for 6.32pts (+7.6%) ridden by today's jockey JA Best
  • 13/57 (22.8%) for 61.56pts (+108%) over trips of 2m3f to 2m7f
  • 8/53 (15.1%) for 31.12pts (+58.7%) over hurdles
  • 4/24 (16.7%) for 5.75pts (+24%) at Class 3
  • and 3/14 (21.4%) for 9.34pts (+66.7%) here at Taunton

And of course, all of the above apply to Winning Spark, who saves his best for this venue with 2 wins and 3 places from 7 starts in handicap hurdles here, all under today's jockey.

Of those 7 previous visits, he has 2 wins and a place from 4 runs at 2.3f/2m3.5f, he has a win ands 2 places from 3 Class 3 runs and is 1 from 2 here this year...

...hence...a 1pt win bet on Winning Spark at 4/1 BOG with Hills who led the way at 5.40pm on Wednesday. To see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.40 Taunton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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