Stat of the Day, 7th July 2013

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 7th July 2013

No joy with Sky Garden yesterday, as she was held up for a run but failed to offer anything when asked for an effort. The fact that she drifted from our 5/1 out to an SP of 7/1 shows the lack of faith in her, a lack of faith which was ultimately proven correct.

Off to Scotland today for a Class 3 Handicap over a mile. We're expecting seven runners to compete on good ground (firmer in places) for the...

4.30 Ayr

David O'Meara's horses seem to be flying at the moment with seven winners and five others placed from just twenty-seven runners this month alone. So, when I see him sending out just one runner to a track he does well at, I'm very interested.

In the last thirteen months, seven of David's eighteen runners here have gone on to win: this 38.9% strike rate has yielded profits of 26pts to date, a return of  almost 145% over stakes invested.

As I mentioned above, David has just one runner today: Able Master.

Able Master won two fast ground 7f contests last summer, one here at Ayr and one at Newcastle and he has a record of one win and three second placed finishes from his last seven races. There are some legitimate concerns about his ability to stay the extra furlong, but the yard seem to feel that this is the right trip for him to progress and I'm fairly sure that if his stamina holds out, he'll have enough speed to be involved in the final reckoning.

The racecard for this contest is here.

The doubts about him getting the extra furlong have become apparent when we look at the market, where the best price is currently the 7/1 BOG with BetVictor. It's a price I'm happy to take, but it's the safety first E/W approach today for me. As usual, I strongly recommend that you...

Click here for the latest betting on the 4.30 Ayr

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