Stat of the Day, 7th April 2014

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 7th April 2014

Forceful Appeal was ridden with much more prominence on Saturday and, ultimately, faded badly in the final furlong from second to the rear of the field. It goes down as a clunker, and was one of many frustrations for me personally on a day to forget.

Onwards, and as I've written elsewhere, this can be a tricky time of year to be punting, with the changing of the seasons. But there are winners to be found always, and I'm hoping I've spotted one in the...

4.30 Kelso:

Perth trainer, Nick Alexander, has enjoyed a whale of a time since his daughter Lucy began riding his horses, and she's one of the best jockeys in the north of Britain. Indeed, her record for the old man is 34 wins, and 46 places, from 301 rides for a small profit at SP. 

Their record here at Kelso is six wins and ten places from 52 runners, for a profit at SP of 56.2 points, and today they team up with a quintet of horses: Another Mattie, Landecker, The Orange Rogue, The Flaming Matron, and Or De Grugy.

While you could do worse than roll those up into doubles and trebles, I'm most interested in the last named, Or De Grugy, whose record here in five starts over this trip reads 12212. That two of those defeats were by a nose and a short head means the horse is actually unlucky not to have a course / distance record of 12111, and he should again give his running, despite sneaking up the handicap to 113.

He was a short head second last time off 111, so it's far from an insurmountable mark. With Kealigolane set to lead them, Or De Grugy should be able to slipstream that one and strike for home after the turn in, and Paddy's 10/3 offer is fair enough. Win only, of course.

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