Stat of the Day, 6th September 2017

Tuesday's Result :

3.15 Goodwood : Golden Salute @ 5/2 BOG 2nd at 9/2 : Tracked leaders, challenged 2f out, ridden and every chance 1f out, held by winner inside final furlong, kept on but beaten by three quarters of a length...

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

5.10 Chepstow :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Starshell @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

This one basically revolves around trainer Sir Mark Prescott, whose sub-4/1 handicappers are 9/18 (50%) SR) for 4.82pts (+26.8%ROI) in the past 30 days. A yard in form is always a good start for an SotD selection, but I feel you'd want a bit more than that, so with that in mind, I've three angles at play based on the trainer's success over the last six seasons...

  1.  In Class 6 handicaps, his runners are 68/222 (30.6% SR) for 112.6pts (+50.7% ROI), with those running in Apprentices' Handicaps winning 5 of 13 (38.5%) for 9.33pts (+71.8%)
  2. In Class 3 to 6 Flat handicaps in the July to October period, his 2/3 yr old males are 53/121 (43.8% SR) for 49.9pts (+41.2% ROI), with September producing 19 winners from 37 (51.4%) for profits of 39.1pts (+105.7%)
  3. And his Flat handicappers dropping down a grade are 32/93 (34.4% SR) for 37.7pts (+72.8% ROI)

...quantifying... a 1pt win bet on Starshell @ 11/4 BOG, which was available from five firms at 5.40pm on Wednesday: the choice is yours but for those quick enough or able to do : Bet365 are going 3/1 BOG! For what it's worth, I'm also on Bet365. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.10 Chepstow

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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