Stat of the Day, 5th August 2016

Thursday's Result :

8.25 Sandown : Choral Clan @ 4/1 BOG 4th at 11/4 (Held up, in touch, pushed along over 3f out, kept on final furlong, not trouble leaders)

Friday's pick goes in the...

5.00 Musselburgh :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Amirli at 7/2 BOG

Why?

A winner here at Musselburgh a week ago over 1m 5f under today's jockey staying on well, looks to have a great chance if handling the step back up in trip.

No massive blockbuster stat behind this one, but three angles that are enough to make him worth another punt today...

  1.  Trainer Alistair Whillans' Musselburgh handicappers at 8/1 and shorter are 13/54 (24.1% SR) for 34.7pts (+64.3% ROI) since 2013.
    *
  2. His Flat handicappers dropping down a class and priced at 5/2 to 10/1 are 16/78 (20.5% SR) for 52.2pts (+66.9% ROI) since 2010, with those dropping into Class 6 company winning 9 of 37 (24.3%) for 39.1pts (+105.6%).
    *
  3. His Flat handicappers ridden by a 3lb claimer at 5/2 to 12/1 are 9/51 (17.7% SR) for 43pts (+84.3% ROI) since 2012, with Class 5/6 runners impressing with 8 wins from 37 (21.6%) for 53.2pts (+143.8%) profit.

...which leads me to... a 1pt win bet on Amirli at 7/2 BOG with either Bet365, Betbright and/or Hills, who led the way at 5.30pm, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.00 Musselburgh

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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