Stat of the Day, 4th September 2012

Stat of the Day 4/9

Stat of the Day 4/9

Stat of the Day, 4th September 2012

The very aptly named Looks Like Rain was a comfortable winner in the end yesterday. As predicted, our selection made full use of the extra 100yds or so and stayed on strongly to win with plenty left (in my opinion, of course!) We took the 9/2 on offer early, which was good advice as the Sp was 11/4. It was also interesting to note that the other Ellison/de Sousa mount won too!  Our follow-up attempt only takes us about 45 miles East of last evening's success, as we look at a Class 4 handicap over 7 furlongs. Our choice currently has 13 to beat on good to firm ground in the...

2.30 Leicester

Marcus Tregoning has sent very few horses to Leicester in recent times: just six in the last two years to be precise. But when you see that those six horses have returned 3 winners and 3 places, our attention is grabbed immediately when he sends the horse-box to Leicester. His record over the last 2 years here actually reads 311312.

Marcus is represented by two runners here today: Gilded Frame runs in the 3.05 (currently 7/2 favourite) and stands a good chance if running to the best of his ability and breeding. His previous 2 efforts have been a little disappointing, but his task looks easier today. However, I think our best chance lies in the preceding race with Konstantin.

Konstantin won three handicaps over this trip in 2011, but was slow to get back into form this year. However, he battled to a narrow victory at this same level at Folkestone last time out and a similar effort should be enough to take this one. He also has a Course & Distance win under his belt from his only appearance at this track. He was partnered by Hayley Turner that day and she takes the ride again today: she also rides Gilded Frame in the 3.05.

Konstantin is currently best priced at 13/2 with betVictor and at that price, I'll take the safer E/W option, but as always, I recommend that you...

Click here for the latest odds for the 2.30 Leicester.

12 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 4th September 2012

  1. Stuart

    Another nice little each way double that doubtless had no value!

    Please keep ’em coming …. although God help anyone (well, the one) who consistently lays these tips!

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Cheers, Stuart.
      I thought Konstantin was going to get home today at a nice 12/1. Still, 3/1 for a place isn’t to be sniffed at and we’ve made another 1pt for the pot.

  2. Johnny5

    GREAT stats again Chris

    Nice ew double 12/1 & 7/2 landed – but with only a HD and Neck it could have been so much better

    It’s all about profit and youve done us proud again – so close to kopping the lot !

    Well done and here’s to more

  3. Bob Smith (@RobertS00994664)

    Hi Chris – great pick. P.P. only offered 6/1 G.P. but would have paid the 12/1 S.P. – Horse needs to grow a longer neck !!! lol

    Cheers

  4. donal

    Is it possibe to get all back results of SOTD please? I am following with interest and might have something that could be very profitable for your followers but will need previous results to see if is financially viable.

  5. donal

    I can trawl through files back to start on 17/11/11 but do you have a one sheet copy of SOTD horse(s), where they finished and sp of same? If you can email a copy id appreciate and if not ill keep trawling. regards, donal. Ps Great knowledge!!

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Hi Donal,
      As it happens, I do have a full list of all the selections: this probably comes as little / no surprise to our readers. I haven’t however logged all the finishing positions, if they were unplaced.
      I’ll email it to you and you can do a bit of digging yourself! 😀

      Chris

  6. donal

    much appreciated and ill come back to you on if a profitable safe betting strategy is viable in a few hours. Thanks Chris. November 2011 has thrown out a 57% roi and thats not incl your forecast on 25th. Leave it with me and well done again.

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