Stat of the Day, 4th July 2012

Stat of the Day 04/07

Stat of the Day 04/07

Stat of the Day: 4th July 2012

My initial selection today was at Chepstow, but that meeting became the latest victim of our glorious British summer this morning, so I've been back to the drawing board! I'm taking no chances with my second option as we head for the all-weather surface for a Class 3 handicap over 2 miles. The going will, of course, be standard as nine runners line up for the...

8.00 Kempton

Trainer James Fanshawe has a decent enough record at Kempton to merit consideration for SotD purposes. He has saddled 27 winners from 87 (31%) in the last two years at this track and his place strike rate is just shy of 50% (43/87), therefore his runners are always noteworthy here. Those 27 winners have generated an excellent level stakes profit of 59pts at SP: none too shabby.

Those figures can however be improved by a shrewd jockey selection. When we throw Kieren Fallon's name into the mix, we suddenly see that the partnership has nine winners from twenty at Kempton and a place strike rate of 80%. They team up tonight with Spensley: our selection for today.

Spensley also has a decent record at Kempton with 4 wins from 6  in the last couple of years, which is impressive enough, until you see that Fallon is 4/4 on the horse here!

It's all about the combos tonight: jockey/trainer/horse/course all seem to fit for me: Spensley won't have it all his own way, but I think the 9/2 BOG currently on offer is a reasonable price, so that's where my 0.5pt win bet is going, but you can always...

Click here for the latest odds for the 8.00 Kempton .

PS Mr Fallon rides Rossetti in the last race for Mr Fanshawe and with those excellent place stats in mind: my other half point is split into a 0.25pts E/W bet here at 14/1 BOG.

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