Stat of the Day, 4th January 2017

Tuesday's Result :

1.30 Musselburgh : Proud Gamble @ 11/4 BOG 3rd at 7/1 Tracked leaders, ridden before 4 out, kept on but beaten by 4.5 lengths.

Wednesday's pick goes in the...

2.35 Newcastle

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Bollihope @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

Jockey Connor Beasley is 34 from 203 (16.75% SR) for 34.7pts (+17.1% ROI) when riding for trainer Richard Guest, which is a decent starting point to build a bet, as of those 203 rides, the partnership are...

  • 14/71 (19.7%) for 23.2pts (+32.7%) on the All-Weather
  • 8/30 (26.7%) for 20.6pts (+68.8%) here at Newcastle
  • 5/29 (17.2%) for 2.2pts (+7.5%) on Tapeta
  • 7/25 (28%) for 11.3pts (+45.2%) over this 1m2f trip
  • 5/24 (20.8%) for 7.2pts (+29.9%) on the Tapeta here at Newcastle
  • and 2/3 (66.6%) for 7.57pts (+252.3%) over this tapeta course and distance

And if that wasn't enough to whet the appetite, they come together with just one horse today : Bollihope, who is more than proven at the task he faces here.

To date, he has 3 wins from 9 (33.3% SR) for profits of 23.56pts (+261.8% ROI) on the All-Weather, including...

  • 3 from 6 (50%) for 26.56pts (+442.7%) going left handed
  • 3 from 5 (60%) for 27.56pts (+551.3%) on tapeta
  • 3 from 5 (60%) for 27.56pts (+551.3%) over 1m 2f
  • 3 from 3 (100%) for 29.56pts (+985.5%) here at Newcastle
  • 3 from 3 (100%) for 29.56pts (+985.5%) over course and distance
  • 2 from 4 (50%) for 6.57pts (+164.2%) under Connor Beasley
  • 2 from 3 (66.6%) for 7.57pts (+252.3%) at Class 5
  • and 2 from 2 (100%) for 8.57pts (+428.5%) under Connor Beasley over course and distance.

..giving us...a 1pt win bet on Bollihope @ 11/4 BOG which was available from Betfair Sports and a half dozen others (so we should all get the same price!) at 5.40pm on Monday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 2.35 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

1 thought on “Stat of the Day, 4th January 2017

  1. Everyone calls me Paul

    I only saw this post at 7.35 pm. I know I can receive notification via social media but I tend to just refresh this page occassionally. Did anyone else have this issue, or was it just me.
    Paul

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