Stat of the Day, 4th April 2018

Tuesday's Runner was...

17:00 Lingfield: Wolf Of Windlesham @ 11/4 BOG 7th at 3/1 (Set steady pace, ridden and headed approaching final furlong, weakened inside final furlong tchd 7/2)

We continue with Wednesday's...

15:25 Southwell:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Kyllachys Tale @ 10/3 BOG

A Class 4, one-mile handicap on the all-weather at Southwell with nine runners...


Kyllachys Tale's final two runs of 2017 were below par, but prior to that she looked very good and I'm hoping that having a rest over the winter and returning to a course she has previously won at will help to bring the best out in her.

The following stats are applicable to our selection.

  • on the all-weather courses, she is 1/3 (33.33%) for 7 pts
  • over today's distance, she is 3/9 (33.33%) for 25 pts
  • here at Southwell, she is 1/1 (100%) for 9 pts
  • trainer Roger Teal over the past 14 days is 1/5 (20%) for 46 pts
  • in handicaps, he is 26/220 (11.82%) for 39 pts
  • with his middle distance runners, he is 10/102 (9.80%) for 15 pts
  • jockey Silvestre De Sousa at Southwell over the past five years is 22/99 (22.22%) for 7.29 pts

...all pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Kyllachys Tale @ 10/3 BOG which was available with Bet365 and Skybet at 19:00 on Tuesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 15:25 at Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

3 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 4th April 2018

      1. Chris Worrall Post author

        Matt got that 14 figure from me the other day, but after some thought, I actually think it’s 19!

        I did have 14 losers on the bounce last November (I think it was November, somebody on here will either confirm of correct!) and We still made profit that month.

        I don’t wish to be flippant but a run of 10 or so isn’t as dramatic as it seems. 2 or 3 winners soon address that situation and I’m sure that’s what’s going to happen.


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