Stat of the Day, 3rd June 2017

Friday's Result :

2.35 Epsom : Remarkable @ 7/2 BOG last of 12 at 3/1 Dwelt, pushed along early, soon in mid-division on inside, pushed along and outpaced over 2f out, soon beaten, hung left and eased over 1f out.

Saturday's pick goes in the...

5.55 Hexham...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Heart O Annandale @ 7/2 BOG

Why?

A comfortable winner by some 8 lengths when last seen 24 days ago, now seeks to become the latest market-favoured NH handicap winner for trainer Iain Jardine.

By that, I'm referring to the fact that Iain has seen 19 winners from 77 NH 'cappers sent off in the 2/1 to 6/1 price banding and this 24.7% strike rate has yielded 26,2pts of level stakes profits at an ROI of some 34.1% : nice work from blindly backing them!

Of these 77...

  • Class 4 runners are 12/47 (25.5%) for 14.5pts (+30.8%)
  • hurdlers are 13/46 (28.3%) for 24.3pts (+52.8%)
  • Class 4 hurdlers are 8/25 (32%) for 16.3pts (+65.3%)
  • LTO winners are 5/11 (45.5%) for 16.88pts (+153.4%)
  • and Class 4 hurdlers who won LTO are 2/3 (66.6%) for 8.82pts (+294.1%)

Mind you, I'm not surprised about those LTO winner numbers, as overall Iain's LTO winners are 33/117 (28.2% SR) for 64pts (+54.7%), from which NH runners are 13/37 (35.1%) for 45pts (+121.6%).

And of those 37...

  • hurdlers are 8/24 (33.3%) for 25.77pts (+107.4%)
  • those who won by more than 5 lengths LTO are 8/15 (53.3%) for 22.57pts (+150.5%)
  • those last seen 16-25 days earlier are 38.11pts (+346.5%)
  • and at Class 4 : 6/11 (54.5%) for 18.21pts (+165.5%)

...supporting...a 1pt win bet on Heart O Annandale7/2 BOG which was quite widely available at 7.30pm on Friday, but those able to take the 4/1 BOG offered by Bet365 or even better, the 9/2 BOG from Betway, would be advised to do so. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.55 Hexham

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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