Stat of the Day, 3rd June 2017

Friday's Result :

2.35 Epsom : Remarkable @ 7/2 BOG last of 12 at 3/1 Dwelt, pushed along early, soon in mid-division on inside, pushed along and outpaced over 2f out, soon beaten, hung left and eased over 1f out.

Saturday's pick goes in the...

5.55 Hexham...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Heart O Annandale @ 7/2 BOG


A comfortable winner by some 8 lengths when last seen 24 days ago, now seeks to become the latest market-favoured NH handicap winner for trainer Iain Jardine.

By that, I'm referring to the fact that Iain has seen 19 winners from 77 NH 'cappers sent off in the 2/1 to 6/1 price banding and this 24.7% strike rate has yielded 26,2pts of level stakes profits at an ROI of some 34.1% : nice work from blindly backing them!

Of these 77...

  • Class 4 runners are 12/47 (25.5%) for 14.5pts (+30.8%)
  • hurdlers are 13/46 (28.3%) for 24.3pts (+52.8%)
  • Class 4 hurdlers are 8/25 (32%) for 16.3pts (+65.3%)
  • LTO winners are 5/11 (45.5%) for 16.88pts (+153.4%)
  • and Class 4 hurdlers who won LTO are 2/3 (66.6%) for 8.82pts (+294.1%)

Mind you, I'm not surprised about those LTO winner numbers, as overall Iain's LTO winners are 33/117 (28.2% SR) for 64pts (+54.7%), from which NH runners are 13/37 (35.1%) for 45pts (+121.6%).

And of those 37...

  • hurdlers are 8/24 (33.3%) for 25.77pts (+107.4%)
  • those who won by more than 5 lengths LTO are 8/15 (53.3%) for 22.57pts (+150.5%)
  • those last seen 16-25 days earlier are 38.11pts (+346.5%)
  • and at Class 4 : 6/11 (54.5%) for 18.21pts (+165.5%)

...supporting...a 1pt win bet on Heart O Annandale7/2 BOG which was quite widely available at 7.30pm on Friday, but those able to take the 4/1 BOG offered by Bet365 or even better, the 9/2 BOG from Betway, would be advised to do so. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 5.55 Hexham

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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