Stat of the Day, 30th October 2015
Thursday's Result :
2.50 Lingfield : Grey Mirage @ 12/1 E/W BOG : non-runner (Backed as low as 8/1 and then withdrawn at 10.15am)
Friday's selection runs in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Out of the Mist @ 3/1 BOG
Trainer Emma Lavelle has got her string in fine order at the moment with 5 winners and three placers from just 12 runners in the last fortnight and now comes to a track where she has enjoyed success over the past few years.
In fact , since the start of 2009, her runners are 12 from 68 (17.7% SR) for 16.2pts (+23.8% ROI) here at Uttoxeter and Out of the Mist typifies the sort of horse she excels with...
...basically, 4 to 6 yrs old runners in non-handicap NH contests shorter than 2m7f during the months of October and November. Such runners are 48/164 (29.3% SR) for 193pts (+117.7% ROI) since the start of 2008 and those runners can be further analysed as follows...
- hurdlers are 31/113 (27.4% SR) for 163.1pts (+144.4%ROI)
- class 5 runners are 5/17 (29.4% SR) for 8.81pts (+51.8% ROI)
- at Uttoxeter, they are 4/12 (33.33% SR) for 16.43pts (+137% ROI)
And my recommended bet?
A 1pt win bet on Out of the Mist at 3/1 BOG with either of Hills, SkyBet, BetVictor or Ladbrokes, although the latter don't go BOG until the morning of the race. I've chosen to go with Hills, but to see what your preferred bookie is offering...
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