Stat of the Day, 2nd September 2016

Thursday's Result :

8.40 Chelmsford : Sarsted @ 13/2 BOG 5th at 5/1 (Led 2f, tracked leader, ridden when short of room over 1f out, weakened final furlong)

Friday's pick goes in the...

8.30 Kempton:

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Kristjano at 5/1 BOG

Why?

This 4 yr old gelding was only beaten by a head when last seen, 24 days ago, at Lingfield, just failing to get home/off the mark at this 2m trip, but if approached in the same manner, this looks a slightly easier task on paper. Hopefully that will also be the case on sand!

He's trained by Chris Wall, who is a dab hand in A/W handicaps, as demonstrated by 55 winners from 287 (19.2% SR) runners since 2011 that have generated 113.3pts (+39.5% ROI) of level stakes profits and of those 287 runners...

  • those with a top 5 finish LTO are 42/165 (25.5%) for 120.7pts (+73.2%)
  • in the months of August to October : 32/145 (22.1%) for 88.2pts (+60.9%)
  • here at Kempton : 26/133 (19.6%) for 56.4pts (+42.4%)
  • those beaten by less than 4 lengths LTO are 24/97 (24.7%) for 60.1pts (+62%)
  • males are 22/97 (22.7%) for 33pts (+34%)
  • Class 5 runners are 20/97 (20.6%) for 74.3pts (+76.6%)
  • those ridden by George Baker are 18/69 (26.1%) for 30.5pts (+44.1%)
  • and those ridden by George Baker in handicaps here at Kempton : 13 winners from 40 runners (32.5% SR) for profits of 36.4pts at an ROI of 91.1%

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Kristjano at 5/1 BOG, a price offered in around a dozen places at 10.40pm on Thursday, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 8.30 Kempton.

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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