Stat of the Day, 2nd July 2016

Friday's Result :

7.00 Haydock : Sidewinder @ 100/30 BOG 4th at 5/2 (Led, jumped path over 5f out, ridden and headed over 1f out, no extra)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

3.15 Leicester :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Theydon Thunder at 11/4 BOG

Why?

Since returning to action in March after a 13 month layoff, this 4 yr old gelding has finished 12611 in his five outings this year,winning his last two, both over a mile, by 3.75 lengths and 2.75 lengths respectively, the first of hich was at a higher grade than today.

So far, he is 2/2 on the Flat, 2/2 under George Wood and 3/5 over a mile. Running just 8 days after that last win shouldn't be an issue either, as he has run after breaks of 7, 1 and 7 days already this season.

He's trained by Peter Charalambous, a very under-rated (in my opinion, anyway!) trainer, who has been profitable to follow for a while now, as his Flat handicappers are 21/124 (16.9% SR) for 105.8pts (+85.4% ROI) since the start of the 2012 season, of which the following is of interest/relevance today...

  • over a mile to a mile and a half : 21/106 (19.8%) for 123.8pts (+116.8%)
  • priced at 2/1 to 15/2 : 15/47 (31.9%) for 43.7pts (+93%)
  • those last seen 3 to 10 days ago are 8/31 (25.8%) for 10.27pts (+33.1%)
  • LTO winners are 6/21 (28.6%) for 10.75pts (+51.2%)
  • on soft ground : 5/20 (25%) for 6.76pts (+33.8%)

...so the play is a 1pt win bet on Theydon Thunder at 11/4 BOG with any of over a dozen firms quoting the same price at 2.00am and to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 3.15 Leicester

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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