Stat of the Day, 2nd July 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 2nd July 2012

Despite wishing there were 31 days in June so we could have recorded a profit on the month, we'll have to settle for a tidy start to July, as 9/2 Changing The Guard put 26 lengths between himself and his nearest rival come the jam stick. 'Off for his life' is the term I believe.

We move on, in search of another winner, but it's tricky today. Ultimately, I've decided to head for Wales and theā€¦

8.25 Ffos Las

A mile on soft ground is the order of the evening, and a handicap that is anything but soft.

Again, the three year olds get a healthy weight concession from their older counterparts, meaning the two highest rated horses are almost bottom weights here.

In truth, both of their trainers have fine records at the track, and Cathedral could well improve for the drop back in trip.

But I'm siding with David Simcock, the top trainer at the track, with ten wins from thirty starters, to ice his cake still further. He has just the one runner tonight, Andalieb, and this chap ticks a lot of boxes.

First, he's won over a mile. Second, he's won over a mile on soft ground. Third, it was last time out and he's clearly improving; and fourth, it was on a pretty similar track: Doncaster.

There are others who can give him a race, but none with the proven ability to handle the precise conditions of this affair.

10/3 is available, best odds guaranteed with Paddy Power, and I'll have a slice of that.

Click here for the latest odds on the 8.25 Ffos Las.

1 thought on “Stat of the Day, 2nd July 2012

  1. graham

    Hi Matt (and Chris) yesterdays tip was spot on, new month new start.
    Just read yesterdays comments WOW old P-K is back with a bang.
    As regards betting with a bog bookie I always do that now after having my fingers burned a couple of months ago when one of your sotd’s drifted right out. I think as long as you get on early enough with your bet then you are near enough guaranteed a value bet unless there is no movement of price, so long live the power of the paddy and their bog friends!! Long live sotd as well!!
    Thanks to you both, and don’t let the comments of P-K get you down.

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