Stat of the Day, 2nd December 2015

Stat of the Day, 2nd December 2015

Tuesday's Result :

1.15 Southwell : Crosspark @ 2/1 BOG 3rd of 9 at 2/1 (Mid-division, not fluent 7th, headway on outside 4 out, every chance 2 out, 3rd and no impression on winner when dived at last )

Wednesday's selection runs in the...

3.10 Ludlow :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Dukes Affair @ 11/4 BOG

Why?

1. Since the start of 2008, Jeremy Scott's handicap hurdlers priced at 5/4 to 10/1 are 53/248 (21.4% SR) for 55pts (+22.2% ROI), with the following applicable here...

  • males are 36/162 (22.2% SR) for 54.4pts (+33.6% ROI)
  • Class 4/5 : 36/148 (24.3% SR) for 53pts (+35.8% ROI)
  • 7 to 9 yr oldsĀ  :37/113 (32.7% SR) for 66.2pts (+58.5% ROI)

2. Over the last three years, jockey Matt Griffiths has ridden 22 winners from his 113 rides (19.5% SR) aboard the Scott handicappers for profits of 54.7pts at an ROI of 48.4%. Over hurdles that record is 12/64 (18.8% SR) for 33pts (+51.5% ROI)

3. Since 2008, Jeremy's handicap hurdlers running within 1 to 30 of a win last time out are 11/28 (39.3% SR) for 29.4pts (+105% ROI) at odds of 11/8 to 9/1.

4. On the occasions like today, when he only sends one runner to a track, that horse has been a winner on 56 of 322 occasions over the last five years with the resultant 17.4% strike rate yielding level stakes profits of 229.7pts at an ROI of 71.4% with his Class 4 hurdlers winning 18 of 85 (21.2% SR) for 121.4pts (+142.8% ROI)

5. And on the occasions like today, when he only has one runner anywhere, that horse has been a winner on 48 of 263 occasions over the last five years with the resultant 18.3% strike rate yielding level stakes profits of 252.6pts at an ROI of 96.1% with his Class 4 hurdlers winning 14 of 67 (20.9% SR) for 128.8pts (+192.3% ROI)

And my recommended bet, based on prices available at 7.25pm?

A 1pt win bet on Dukes Affair @ 11/4 BOG with either of Boylesports or Seanie Mac to see what your preferred bookie is offering...

...click here for the betting on the 3.10 Ludlow

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day,

just click here for more details.

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard.

3 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 2nd December 2015

  1. Everyone calls me Paul

    I’m restricted to sp at Boyles, so thought it was an opportune time to register with Seanie Mac, only to be told on the form that my e-mail address is already registered…very strange. I’ve e-mailed ’em. Anyway, so far I’ve just put a quarter point on at 3.8 on Betfair. Last time I didn’t put the full stake on we were on a winner, so the rest of you (and me with my quarter point to date) might be on!
    Paul

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