Stat of the Day, 29th October 2016

Friday's Result :

5:00 Wetherby : 3rd @ 11/4 BOG (Always prominent, led 3 out, ridden before next, headed before last, kept on towards finish)

Saturday's pick goes in the...

14:45 Wetherby

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Native River at 13/2 BOG

Why?

Colin Tizzard's gelding by Indian River reverts back to hurdling, where he was rated as high as 145.

Tizzard has the following stats that are applicable here...

  • his record with middle distance jumpers is 64/323 for 34.01 pts (19.87%)
  • over the past 14 days he is 6/29 for 1.67 pts (20.69%)
  • at Wetherby over the past year he is 4/6 for 17.98pts (66.67%)

Richard Johnson has been in good form recently with 12/53 (23.53%) and has a similar record at the course over a five year period 13/59 (22.03%).

Native River was running really well over the fences, therefore it is a fascinating switch back to hurdles, and if taking to them I think he will take all the beating.

...pointing us towards...a 1pt win bet on Native River at 13/2 BOG a price offered by Bet365 (my preference), Skybet, William Hill and Betvictor at 8.25pm on Friday, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 14:45 at Wetherby

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

6 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 29th October 2016

    1. Steven Oliver Post author

      Hi Ian,
      This is still a SotD selection, however, Chris is on holiday until the end of next week. Therefore, I will be taking over until he gets back.
      Steve

    1. Steven Oliver Post author

      The Hennessy does look his main target at the moment. However, he is 3/6 over hurdles and if running to his mark, he looks to have a decent chance at a nice price.

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