Stat of the Day, 29th November 2016

Monday's Result :

3.50 Newcastle : Savannah Beau @ 3/1 BOG 6th at 3/1 (Keen, close up, ridden 2f out, weakened final furlong)

Tuesday's pick goes in the...

1.25 Southwell :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Toviere @ 4/1 BOG

Why?

Placed twice in three starts over hurdle and was a decent second of ten last time out a month ago, when probably needing a run after 22 weeks off the track.

Trainer Oliver Sherwood usually has his string in fine order when sending them here to Southwell, with 7 winners from 48 (14.6% SR) for 10.97pts (+22.8% ROI) profit since the start of 2012, with the following applicable this afternoon...

  • male runners are 7/37 (18.9%) for 22pts (+59.4%)
  • those ridden by Leighton Aspell are 6/28 (21.4%) for 23.3pts (+83.3%)
  • At Class 4 : 5/26 (19.2%) for 16.6pts (+63.8%)
  • Leighton Aspell on male runners = 6/22 (27.3%) for 29.3pts (+133.3%)
  • Leighton Aspell at Class 4 = 4/17 (23.5%) for 17.94pts (+105.5%)
  • Leighton Aspell on male Class 4 runners = 4/13 (30.8%) for 21.9pts (+168.8%)
  • and on Good to Soft ground : 3/11 (27.3%) for 7.44pts (+67.6%)

...for...a 1pt win bet on Toviere at 4/1 BOG, which was widely available at 6.05pm on Monday. To see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 1.25 Southwell

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

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