Stat of the Day, 29th December 2017

Thursday's Result :

2.55 Lingfield : Corazon Espinado @ 9/4 BOG 2nd at 13/8 Close up, headway over 1f out, switched right inside final furlong, soon chased winner, kept on one pace.

Next up is Friday's...

3.10 Doncaster :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.


Muthabir @ 5/1 BOG

A Class 3, 4yo+ Handicap Hurdle over 3m0.5f on Good to Soft ground worth £5,630 to the winner...


This 7 yr old gelding has won 2 of his last 6 outings and was a winner over this trip when last seen a month ago at Kempton on similarly good to soft ground.

Prior to today, he's already won at this track as well as being...

  • 4/9 in fields of 7-10 runners and 4/8 when priced at 5/1 or shorter
  • 3/7 after a break of 30-45 days and 3/5 on good to soft
  • 2/4 at 3m/3m0.5f and has 2 wins under today's jockey.

In addition to his own stats, he features in one of micro-systems...

...2012-17 / Class 2-5 / male hcp hurdlers / OR 80-125 / carrying 9-13 to 10-12 / won a hcp hurdle LTO less than 5 weeks ago...

The above has produced 127 winners from 578 and the resultant 22% strike rate has generated level stakes profits of 77pts at an ROI of 13.3%, from which...

  • those running on good to soft are 30/118 (25.4%) for 52.7pts (+44.6%)
  • those running in December are 16/62 (25.8%) for 24.9pts (+40.1%)
  • and those running in December on good to soft are 5/9 955.6%) for 31.6pts (+351.5%) us... a 1pt win bet on Muthabir @ 5/1 BOG which was available from Betfair, Betway, Paddy Power & SkyBet at 5.35pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply... here for the betting on the 3.10 Doncaster

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!


Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!

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