Stat of the Day, 28th October 2016

Thursday's Result :

3.25 Stratford : Artifice Sivola @ 4/1 (9/5 after a whopping 55p R4) BOG WON at 4/6 (Made all, driven clear approaching last, ran on strongly to win by 4.5 lengths)

Friday's pick goes in the...

5.00 Wetherby :

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Thyne For Gold at 11/4 BOG

Why?

Male handicap hurdlers who won by 4 lengths or more last time out, 3 to 60 days ago are 319/1261 (25.3% SR) for 201.7pts (+16% ROI) since the start of 2012, with the following applicable here...

  • those last seen 4-45 days ago are 304/1192 (25.5%) for 209.3pts (+17.6%)
  • those who won by 5 to 15 lengths LTO are 213/803 (26.5%) for 196.1pts (+24.4%)
  • Class 4 runners are 124/403 (30.8%) for 85.5pts (+21.2%)
  • and 5 yr olds are 80/252 (31.8%) for 57.4pts (+22.8%)

AND...from the above...Class 4 / 4-45 dslr / 5-15 lengths win LTO = 85/261 (32.6% SR) for 75.8pts (+29% ROI)

More generally, Donald McCain's handicap hurdlers who were LTO winners 1-30 days earlier are 13/58 (22.4% SR) for 27.4pts (+47.3% ROI) since 2012, of which...

  • 6-25 dslr = 13/40 (32.5%) for 45.4pts (+113.5%)
  • in conditional jockey races : 4/10 (40%) for 25.26pts (+252.6%)
  • and here at Wetherby : 1/3 (33.3%) for 1.89pts (+63%)

And finally, he's by Robin des Pres, whose offspring are 20/127 (15.8% SR) for 165.3pts (+130.1% ROI) in handicaps over distances of 2m3f to 2m7.5f since the start of 2015.

...pointing us towards...a 1pt win bet on Thyne For Gold at 11/4 BOG, a price offered by Bet365 (my preference), BetVictor, SkyBet and Betfair Sports at 5.25pm on Thursday, but to see your preferred bookies' odds, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 5.00 Wetherby.

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard...

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