Stat of the Day, 28th October 2013
An excellent 5/1 winner yesterday to round off a wonderful day for me personally and also for many geegeez readers. Firstly, full credit to Aidan Coleman for coming back from two falls earlier on the card to still have the strength and determination to drive Theatrelands home in a tight finish.
Our selection was slightly behind after the last hurdle but stayed on dourly to get up just before the line and take the race by just a head at an SP of 9/2.
It was a good end to a great day for me as it was the final leg of a 150/1 treble when combined with the selections in yesterday's Double Dutch, which returned a near 25/1 winning double.
No UK racing today means we're off to Ireland for the...
On a difficult day for punting, one horse seems most likely in the 2m 6f slog on soft/heavy ground (depending on whose going report you follow!) and that is Lookoutnow.
The horse comes here for his seasonal reappearance after ending his last campaign in fine style and his full form over the last year reads 313111, so on his best form, he'll be difficult to beat.
Providing he runs well enough first time out after a break, as he has done in the past, then stamina shouldn't be the issue today. He has won at trips of 2m4f up to 2m6.5f, in fact he's 5/1 at that range.
The ground won't bother him either as he's 6/11 on soft/heavy going and today's jockey MP Butler has been on board this horse thirteen times already, so they've a good understanding and when together they have achieved 6 wins and 5 places from those 13 runs and he's also able to take off a useful 3lbs off this top weight today.
I'm of the opinion that he'd be a certainty for an E/W bet, but the odds probably won't allow that today, I'm afraid. So we need to be brave and stick our necks and as such I'm placing a 1pt win bet on Lookoutnow at 4/1 BOG. This price is quite widely available, so I'm reinvesting some of yesterday's BetVictor winnings, but if you prefer to use another bookie...
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