Stat of the Day, 28th June 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 28th June 2012

Once again we beat the market comfortably enough, taking 14/1 about a horse sent off at 10/1, but things conspired against us. Fazza missed the break a little but, more materially, was clearly drawn on the wrong side, as all bar one jockey elected to go the longer route around the course.

Consequently, the first three home were drawn 15-17-12. We were drawn 2 🙁

A rare excuse there, but not to be hung on to as we get straight back on the horse this afternoon at the seaside, and specifically the…

2.50 Yarmouth

Once again, we're looking for a trainer with strong track form, and today our man is Chris Wall. Wall's overall stats at Yarmouth in the last five years are 28 wins from 145 runners (19%) and a profit of 38.9 units.

But his main area of expertise is with his older horses. Here, the numbers come in at fifteen winners from fifty runners (30%) and a profit of 30.9 points.

He runs just the one older horse today, and this is a chap who has some scope on turf, as he's done most of his racing on the all weather.

Les Verguettes (named after a small area in Provence, close to Avignon, in case you wondered) has had just three runs on turf, finishing 6th, 5th, 4th.

The 6th was on his debut when he was entitled to need it, and actually ran well; the 5th was over an extra furlong which is probably a bit too far; and the 4th was last time out in a race where he may have been badly drawn (first three were drawn 1-5-2, he was drawn 10 of 10).

It's possible of course that I'm making too many excuses for today's SotD and that can always send egg towards my face, but I think he's worth one more chance on a day when he looks to have most things in his favour.

11/1 is available early and, whilst I'm tempted to recommend win only in a bid to get June into profit, each way is the prudent play.

Click here for the latest odds on the 2.50 Yarmouth.

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