Stat of the Day, 28th December 2012

Stat of the Day 28/12/12

Stat of the Day 28/12/12

Stat of the Day, 28th December 2012

Imjin River took William Stone's recent Wolverhampton record to 15 top-5 finishes from 17 yesterday, but unfortunately 5th was the final outcome. Our selection opened up at 20/1 on course and was sent off at 16/1, yet ran a decent race that belied the odds. He gave it his all under a good ride from Natasha Eaton and despite being outgunned in the closing yards, finished a very creditable distance behind the winner: less than two lengths separated the first five home.

We're taking a short hop East today to Oadby for an 8-runner, Class 3 Handicap Hurdle over two miles for the...

3.40 Leicester

We're not going specifically with a trainer today, more down the "horses for courses" route, as we take a look at Bin End, trained by Barry Brennan.

Bin End has already won four races at today's minimum NH trip of two miles and today will be this 6 year old's fifth visit to the Leicester track, having already won three of his previous four outings here: twice over course and distance. His latest win here was his last run anywhere on 2nd December where he won on Soft ground, which should help today, as there's definitely going to be some cut in the ground.

Those three previous wins from four attempts here have rewarded followers with a level stakes profit of 31.25pts and although this looks a stronger race than the one four weeks ago, he looks set for another bold showing despite a rise in the weights. I'm also not over concerned if today turns out to be a tactical battle with a sprint to the line, as our mount has won here in a flat race (10 furlongs) too.

Bin End will be ridden by the talented Sam Twiston-Davies today and Sam is no stranger to the horse, having ridden him on three occasions earlier in the year. All those races were at Ludlow, where the partnership recorded two wins from three, all over today's trip including another soft ground victory. In fact Sam has a 75% win strike rate for owner David Gibbons.

Our selection's last win was at odds of 5/4, but the rise in weights coupled with a tougher contest today are reflected in the prices available this morning (10.00am), where the best odds on offer were 9/2 BOG and 5/1 non-BOG. I strongly fancy this one to at least make the frame, but there's not enough in the prices for an E/W bet, yet the 9/2 still represents decent value in this race where I'd expected to see him compete at around the 7/2 mark.

So, the play today is a 1pt win bet on Bin End at 9/2 BOG with Stan James, but if you prefer the 5/1 non-BOG from Sporting Bet, then...

Click here for the latest betting on the 3.40 Leicester

11 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 28th December 2012

  1. Richard

    What an absolute joke this stat of the day is. I was recommended it by MMR More Money Review. All I have seen is a stream of short priced losers, and each way punts that are still running. All I can say is it would make a cracking lay service!

    1. Damion

      Yes,admittedly results have not been great the last couple of months.But write this site off at your peril.This time of year is extremely difficult to consistently pick winners with the bad weather and awful ground conditions.Chris and Mark do a pretty decent job on the whole,and like most of us come into their own when the racing is on decent ground.Go ahead and start laying all their selections and over the year you will b the loser.. trust me!

  2. Johnny5

    Richard
    You’re right – the last couple months have been weak on results for SotD

    However as you’ve just started to tap into this you’ve no idea how good a year this has been for the service (u will if u look at the link Matt replied to you with)… We’ve all made money on what is in fact a FREE service

    The fact it’s free means youve no truck to moan about it and absolutely no right to rubbish Matt and Chris in such a way

    We don’t know how seriously you take your betting – but the fact that you can’t see past a bad run (even the best have them) and the fact you think this is a get rich quick scheme to rubbish if you lose probably is an assumption that you’re a mug punter who can’t see past his last losing bet and looking for someone to blame

    Win lose or draw we are better punters reading SotD ,and Geegeez posts in general , as the information is intelligent and well researched and is better to have on your side than not

    Whether we decide to use it in having a bet is OUR decision …and ‘blaming’ Matt for your losIng bets is your risk

    You should have a long hard look in the mirror mate coz its YOU that’s the JOKE – not this service or the people involved in running it

    For the record I am involved with eight pro punters whom I either help place bets for or pay for their selections

    Since May its not stopped raining bar for a few Olympic weeks and the jubilee weekend – and 4 out of 8 of these pro punters have had their worst year on record . These four are turf racing horse backers and the ground conditions have made landing a gamble unfathomable

    The only three ahead are the two greyhound backers , the AW racing player and the football punter …

    Says it all

    The fact that ,in not just my opinion , this has been the toughest horse punting year for two decades due to weather – Sotd has made over 100 points profit is remarkable

    And it’s FREE

    That’s no joke Dick – just your comments are

    Keep the faith Matt and Chris (and Mark …)!

    1. Chris Worrall Post author

      Richard, you’re right in so much that recent results have been disappointing, but we don’t deny that, nor do we make excuses for it. The bottom line is that we’re well in profit on the long term, despite any short term downswings.

      1. Chris

        Long term can mean 2 or 3 months or 20 bets or so to some people at times. Regular 2 or 3 months of losing is nothing to worry about long term

        back to Imjin River, I just don’t think the horse is good enough to win under those conditions, for me it had no finish to his race, unlucky not to grab a place and not the worst pick by any means.

  3. Stuart

    I think the Richards of this world are to be encouraged. Those of us who can look at this service over a long period (say 6 months or a year) love it. However, during the good spells, we all know the price of an SotD tip plummets between the time of issue and the off. We’re in a bad spell right now, and the tip for 29/12 has almost doubled at Bet365 (the early Betfair prices suggested having been snapped up). If your horse is going to lose, it doesn’t really matter what price you were on at, but when you’re winning it is of vital importance.

    Sooner or later, the old “form is temporary, class is permanent” will come back to haunt the SotD layers. As a backer, I hope there are, by then, plenty of layers. Unfortunately, we shall never know – because they always go VERY quiet then, don’t they?

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