Stat of the Day, 27th October 2012

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Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 27th October

Mercifully, I'm back at home for a couple of days with a computer that works and, I'm delighted to report, we manage to nick place pieces with yesterday's SotD pick, Mistress of Rome. She didn't really look like winning, but was only beaten a length and a quarter in third. We'll take our 0.3 point profit and move on to fight another day.

As always with Stat of the Day, that day is today! I'm heading off to the Welsh borders for an interesting long shot, in theā€¦

4.15 Chepstow

Whatever happens today, remember the name Harry Fry. This chap is young and he's talented. So talented in fact that he trained the winner of the Champion Hurdle last season. No, I've not lost my marbles. Fry was an assistant trainer to Paul Nicholls last term, and ran the yard at Seaborough in Dorset, which is now his own. In the yard, he trained Rock On Ruby, which won the Champion Hurdle.

He keeps that horse and a number of other nice beasts, one of which runs this afternoon. So far, Fry has saddled six horses under his own name and his career record to date reads 230011. The wins were at 10/1 and 6/1 so he's already nicely in front.

As I say, irrespective of how Robinson Collonges performs this afternoon, keep your eye on Harry.

But there are reasons to be hopeful about Robinson too, despite recent form of 05P. Prior to that, he ran in this race last year and finished third. That was off a rating of 134, and carrying 11-01, the exact same rating and weight he's shouldered with here.

Nick Scholfield takes over from Harry Skelton, and the good to soft ground will be fine. His form after a break reads 141P3, so he should be fine first time up for the season, and I'm hoping he'll go close.

His odds of 10/1 Best Odds Guaranteed mean we can go each way, and that's a sensible play about a horse who travels well but doesn't always find too much off the bridle.

p.s. At the risk of repeating myself, remember the name 'Harry Fry'.

Click here for the latest odds on the 4.15 Chepstow.

1 thought on “Stat of the Day, 27th October 2012

  1. Ian

    Totally agree about Harry Fry Matt and I am sure Paul Nicholls will be ruing the loss of several of his top horses to his old satellite yard when it comes to totting up the prize money it loses him in his Trainers Title battle v Nicky Henderson. Anyone backing Nicholls to win (or even come second to Henderson) needs to cotton on to how many good horses Fry has got from Ditcheat!

    Personally, I can see both McCain and possibly Jonjo overtaking PN at the top of the Trainers charts this winter………it could be a classic season!

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