Wednesday's Result :
3.40 Catterick : Herons Heir @ 4/1 BOG WON at 13/2 Held up, headway approaching 5th, led and jumped left from 3 out, clear next, ridden out to win by 6 lengths.
Thursday's pick goes in the...
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Western Presence @ 11/4 BOG
This 3yr old was a course and distance winner under today's jockey when last seen. That was 16 days ago in a higher grade than today, but the caveat is that it was a seller as opposed to today's handicap contest.
Trainer Richard Fahey and jockey Tony Hamilton don't pair up here on the A/W at Southwell as often as I'd like to to see them, which is a pity as they're 17 from 96 (17.7% SR) for 14.6pts (+15.2% ROI), from which...
- those who last ran 6-20 days ago are 10/52 (19.2%) for 30.7pts (+59%)
- 3 yr olds are 8/33 (24.2%) for 28.6pts (+86.7%)
- over 5/6 furlongs : 8/29 (27.6%) for 29.6pts (+102.1%)
AND...3 yr olds running over 5/6f 6-20 dslr are 3/5 (60% SR) for 28pts (+560%)
Then we should look at another angle, perhaps? So if we take the following criteria : Fahey / handicappers / 2013 onwards / odds of 5-4 to 7-1 / previous C&D winners / LTO (anywhere) winners, we get 17 winners from 66 (25.8% SR) for 14.8pts (+22.4% ROI), including...
- same C&D as LTO : 16/56 (28.6%) for 22.1pts (+39.5%)
- 1-25 dslr : 17/50 (34%) for 30.8pts (+61.6%)
- males are 11/44 (25%) for 18pts (+40.9%)
- Class 5/6 = 7/21 (33.3%) for 9.5pts (+45.3%)
- ridden by Tony Hamilton = 8/20 (40%) for 15.1pts (+75.5%)
- at Class 6 : 3/8 (37.5%) for 5pts (+62.5%)
AND...males at the same C&D as LTO, 1-25 dslr are 11/28 (39.3% SR) for 34pts (+121.3% ROI)
...and...a 1pt win bet on Western Presence @ 11/4 BOG which was widely available at 6.20pm on Wednesday (although bet365 were offering 3/1) and to see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...
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