Stat of the Day, 25th July 2014

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day, 25th July 2014

Chris has wandered off into the sunset (for a few days) with his swag bag over his shoulder, in search of some Moroccan sunshine. So, in his well earned absence, it's me - Matt - in the chair for the next week and a half.

He was unable to close on a high, with Alba Verde plodding home a well beaten third, at 4/1.

Friday sees the start of a busy and competitive period for racing that takes in Ascot, Goodwood (where I'm told it will be Glorious) and Galway (where I know it will be intoxicating). We'll kick things off in Berkshire, in the...

5.00 Ascot:

A fairly competitive five furlong sprint handicap closes out the opening day of Ascot's three day King George meeting. And, although it's not the sort of race I'd normally get involved with, there is much to like about the chance of Robert Cowell's Iffranesia.

Firstly, the daughter of Iffraaj has an extremely admirable win rate - she's prevailed in six of her eleven contests since transferring to Britain from France. Second, she's progressed from a mark of 50 to her current 82, and shown little sign of hitting her class ceiling. Third, her trainer Robert Cowell is a dab hand at steadily improving sprinters.

The stat angle for Iffranesia is her six from eleven win rate, which becomes six from nine when looking only at five furlong races. And, on good ground or quicker at the minimum she's two from two, both in this grade.

There are very few easy races at Ascot, and this is unlikely to be processional, but Cowell's up-and-upper can earn her place in a Class 3 handicap next time by rounding out a hat-trick of Class 4 wins in this.

A 1pt win bet on Iffranesia at 9/2 BOG is the call. BetVictor, Coral and SkyBet all hold that price at time of writing, but do... here for the latest betting on the 5.00 Ascot

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Here is today's racecard.

15 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 25th July 2014

  1. Essexboy

    Yeah wage reduction on the horizon me thinks Matt. Now for the serious stuff I’m not a stats man but perhaps, someone might pick up on this thread STOD horses which don’t win on day they are tipped but win next time out there seems to be lots of them that have in July.?????

  2. alpha2

    I love BOG! Fantastic Matt. Good to remind the sorcerer’s apprentice that the sorcerer is still here! See you at Goodwood. Do you know which enclosure you will be in?

    1. Matt Bisogno Post author

      Hi Hugh

      Ha, I don’t know about that. Chris maybe geegeez’ equivalent of Plato to my Socrates, or perhaps Carl Gustav Jung to my Siggy Freud!

      Enclosures next week… I’ll be milling around Wed/Thu (no fixed abode), and will be largely resident outside the bar next to the parade ring on Friday. Hope to see you there.


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