Stat of the Day, 25th February 2017

Friday's Result :

2.30 Warwick : Night of Sin @ 11/4 BOG WON at 7/4 Made all, pushed along after 3 out, stayed on well to win by 1.25 lengths

Saturday's pick goes in the...

4.10 Kempton...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Sir Note 10/3 BOG

Why?

A fairly short and simple one for a change today!

A 7 yr old gelding with 6 wins from 13 races to his name, but more impressively since a switch to James Eustace's yard and being sent chasing with Jack Quinlan on his back, he's finished 11131!

He likes the supposed good ground, but I feel it'll deteriorate and that too will suit, as he's 2/2 on soft and goes well in small fields. He's also 4/4 going right handed. 2/2 after a break of 31-60 days and has 1 win and a place from 2 starts at Class 3 company.

He won a Class 3 handicap chase at Leicester last time out (59 days ago) by a good 5 lengths despite not having had a run for almost 29 weeks and this leads us to our stat...

...that tells us that male Class 3 chasers aged 6-9 yrs old who won a handicap chase by 2 to 10 lengths LTO 11 to 150 days ago are 159/765 (20.8% SR) for 167.4pts (+21.9% ROI) since 2008, with those who won by 5 to 10 lengths last time, scoring again on 93 of 405 (23%) occasions for profits of 156.4pts at an ROI of 38.6%, which is...

...enough for...a 1pt win bet on Sir Note @ 10/3 BOG which was available with Betfair Sports, BetVictor & SkyBet at 5.25pm on Friday, but DO take the 7/2 BOG on offer with Paddy Power if you can! To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 4.10 Kempton

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

8 thoughts on “Stat of the Day, 25th February 2017

  1. Everyone calls me Paul

    Wow. What a drift (even if I only got BOG on half the stake). Seems that horse and jock appear to have got up ok; good job Sir Note winged it or he’d have been taken out too.Cheers Chris,
    Paul

  2. jamesfeeney

    Another great winner and a great drift too. As Chris always says the inevitable downturn is probably due to us realistically speaking, but for now we’ll revel in this. A bit of luck today which is vital in betting but that doesn’t take in any way from the magnificence of this service. Wow! Thanks

  3. buskin

    Thanks yet again Chris. Not only did SOTD provide another great priced winner but my 3 picks via Instant Expert were 16/1 (w), 9/2 (w), 5/2 (3rd), which combined in a trixie for a huge profit! Best racing site around by a mile.

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