Stat of the Day, 24th March 2017

Thursday's Result :

7.50 Chelmsford : Rosie Crowe @ 5/1 BOG 5th at 5/1 Led, ridden and headed over 1f out, kept on, no extra final 50 yards

Friday's pick goes in the...

7.45 Newcastle...

Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.

Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.

Who?

Scala Regia11/4 BOG

Why?

A 3 yr old filly who won here over course and distance on her last outing 2 weeks ago, when ridden by today's jockey Luke Morris.

She's trained by Sir Mark Prescott, who A/W handicappers are 50 from 177 (28.3% SR) for 117.1pts (+66.1% ROI) profit since the start of 2015 and for blind backing, those are terrific numbers. Based on today's race conditions, these runners have achieved the following...

  • ridden by Luke Morris = 46/147 (31.3%) for 126pts (+85.7%)
  • 6-45 days since last run = 40/136 (29.4%) for 119.6pts (+87.9%)
  • 3 yr olds are 35/112 (31.3%) for 87.6pts (+78.2%)
  • females are 20/71 (28.2%) for 72.9pts (+102.7%)
  • on Tapeta : 22/69 (31.9%) for 81.3pts (+117.9%)
  • at Class 6 : 22/61 (36.1%) for 99.2pts (+162.7%)
  • over 6/7 furlongs : 12/34 (35.3%) for 60.4pts (+177.6%)
  • and here at Newcastle : 8/23 (34.8%) for 22.8pts (+99%)

AND...from the above : Prescott / Morris / Class 6 3yo handicaps / females at 6-45 dslr = 4/7 (57.1% SR) for 32.93pts (+470.4% ROI)

...giving us...a 1pt win bet on Scala Regia 11/4 BOG which was available from Bet365, Betfair Sports & SkyBet at 5.45pm on Thursday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...

...click here for the betting on the 7.45 Newcastle

Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!

REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS

Here is today's racecard

P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats are to Betfair SP, as (i) I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you and (ii) although inferior to the BOG odds we secure, BFSP is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns quoted.

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