Friday's Result :
7.05 Ayr : Euro Nightmare @ 7/2 BOG non-runner self-certified (not eaten up).
Saturday's pick goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG
This 4 yr old gelding was a winner in this Class 3 grade four starts ago off a mark of 94, but has since toiled at a higher level off 98 & 99, failing to make the frame in three runs at Class 2.
Now eased to a more workable mark of 96 and back at Class 3, he looks well placed to record a 5th career win in just his 15th start, and of his current 4/14 record, he is...
- 2/9 at 1m2f/1m2.5f, 2/6 on Good ground, 3/5 when priced at 6/1 or shorter
- he's 2/3 under today's jockey Phillip Makin, 2/3 in fields of 7 or fewer runners
- 2 from 2 at Class 3 and has won one of his two starts here at Ayr.
In addition to the above, a quick look at the racecard shows he's a good way clear on our excellent speed ratings and will seek to give his trainer JJ (John) Quinn yet another Ayr winner to add to his record of 22/114 (19.3% SR) for 66.3pts (+58.1% ROI) since the start of the 2010 season, and these 114 include...
- 19/99 (19.2%) for 58pts (+58.5%) from males
- 16/94 (17%) for 65.7pts (+69.9%) in handicaps
- 21/90 (23.3%) for 83.2pts (+92.4%) from his 2-5 yr olds
- 7/24 (29.2%) for 33.2pts (+138.3%) from his 4 yr olds
- and 6/16 (37.5%) for 25pts (+156.2%) from those ridden by today's jockey Phillip Makin.
Now, Phillip himself also has a good record at this venue and we already know he's 6/16 (37.5%) for 25pts (+156.2%) here on the Quinn horses, but since the start of 2014, he's actually 32/163 (19.6% SR) for 102pts (+62.6% ROI) here in Western Scotland witha 9 from 27 (33.3% SR) record over this 1m2f track and trip that has generated some 34.2pts of profits at an ROI of 126.6%.
And before I sign off for the weekend, I should also throw in the fact that Phillip is in absolutely terrific form at present : he has had 18 rides over the last 5 days and he has managed win seven times, whilst making the frame on three occasions, so he's certainly flying of late!
...all pointing to...a 1pt win bet on Speed Company @ 9/2 BOG which was available from Betfair, BetVictor and Paddy Power at 6.00pm on Friday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...
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REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!