Stat of the Day, 24th July 2012

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day

Stat of the Day: 24th July 2012

The fourth-itis (a rare and curious ailment) continued for SotD yesterday, as Soul Magic couldn't quite get into the sharp end action at Cartmel yesterday.

It's been a bit of feast and famine this month and, though we're 24 points up (!) in July, we are currently struggling to get back on the winning trail.

What better idea then than to chase after a complete punt in the dark, as we head for South Wales, and the...

9.05 Ffos Las

It's the David Simcock show today, as the Newmarket-based trainer heads to F-f-f-f-f-fos Las.

Simcock has an affinity with the course there, as an impressive record of ten wins from thirty runners attests. His three year olds are the pick of a prodigious pile, with five winners from just a dozen horses (42% strike rate) and 8.41 points profit.

Although all of Simcock's three runners tonight have chances, the only three year old entrant is Crazy Too, a thrice-raced maiden, making his handicap debut.

Despite being bred for a mile and more, Crazy Too has run over six furlongs twice, before dropping to the minimum distance last time out, and he will tackle the five furlong trip again here.

He's been beaten a smaller distance each time he's raced and, on his first three year old start, there's a good chance he's filled out and is ready to step up on previous performances. In truth, I'm basing the aforementioned 'good chance' on the trainer's overall record, so it is a bit of a leap of faith. But then, that's often the SotD way, and we're unapologetic about that!

Two places only, and 5/1 BOG with bet365, so we'll go win only. Usual story, the price might have gone higher as there's only two bookies displaying prices just now, so do make sure you…

Click here for the latest odds for the 9.05 Ffos Las.

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