Wednesday's Result :
Thursday's pick goes in the...
Before I post the daily selection, just a quick reminder of how I operate the service. Generally, I'll identify and share the selection in the evening before the following day's race and I then add a detailed write-up later on that night/next morning.
Those happy to take the early price on trust can do so, whilst some might prefer to wait for my reasoning. As I fit the early service in around my family life, I can't give an exact timing on the posts, so I suggest you follow us on Twitter and/or Facebook for instant notifications of a published pick.
Madeline @ 3/1 BOG
Wow! Nosebleed time for me at the rarified atmosphere of Group racing, but this 2 yr old filly has enough about her to drag me away from my usual Class 5 provincial handicaps!
She's 2 from 4 so far, including 2 from 3 at this 6f distance and won a Listed race last time out almost five weeks ago.
Trainer Roger Varian / July-October / 2 yr olds with just 2-5 career runs / No jockey claim / ran in a non-handicap LTO = 22/91 (24.2% SR) for 71.9pts (+79% ROI) over the past five seasons, from which...
- at 5-7.5 furlongs : 20/77 (26%) for 76.2pts (+99%)
- in non-hcps : 17/73 (23.3%) for 40.1pts (+55%)
- on turf : 19/72 (26.4%) for 63.9pts (+88.7%)
- 11-45 days since last run : 20/70 (28.6%) for 82.1pts (+117.3%)
- females are 12/50 (24%) for 57.7pts (+115.4%)
- ridden by Andrea Atzeni : 9/37 (24.3%) for 32.4pts (+87.5%)
- in fillies' races : 8/36 (22.2%) for 42.8pts (+118.9%)
- and at Class 1 : 5/21 (23.8%) for 33.8pts (+160.9%)
Jockey Andrea Atzeni has 14 winners from 67 (20.9% SR) over the last 30 days and is 6/30 (20%) in the last week and when riding for Roger Varian here at York : 7/28 (25% SR) for 8.65pts (+30.9% ROI) over the last four seasons with those runners priced at 15/8 to 6/1 winning 7 of 17 (41.2%) for profits of 19.65pts at an ROI of 115.6%.
...but, for now, it's... a 1pt win bet on Madeline @ 3/1 BOG which was widely available at 6.00pm on Wednesday. To see what your preferred bookie is offering, simply...
Don't forget, we offer a full interactive racecard service every day!
REMINDER: THERE IS NO STAT OF THE DAY ON SUNDAYS
P.S. all P/L returns quoted in the stats above are to Betfair SP, as I NEVER bet to ISP and neither should you. I always use BOG bookies for SotD, wherever possible, but I use BFSP for the stats as it is the nearest approximation I can give, so I actually expect to beat the returns I use to support my picks. If that's unclear, please ask!